La escuela de los momiosPortland Fire v Dallas Wings
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Portland Fire (Local)
Predicción 30.28%3.30momio equitativo
EV +3.24%
Ventaja +0.951%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.044%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.60%30.23%30.24%32.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.183.203.4135.09%31.49%31.25%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Dallas Wings (Visitante)
Predicción 69.72%1.43momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -5.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.86%69.77%69.76%72.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.351.351.4078.74%73.88%74.07%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.60%EV +3.24%E +0.951%K +1.35%G +0.044% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.40%EV -9.36%E -7.20%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.94%E +0.865%K +1.23%G +0.036% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-23 01:40 |
| Bovada | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +1.43%E +0.426%K +0.607%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-23 02:13 |
| Bet Right | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.43%E +0.426%K +0.607%G +0.009% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 01:49 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.087%E -0.026%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-23 01:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.087%E -0.026%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-23 01:44 |
| Fanatics | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 01:59 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 01:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Unibet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| betPARX | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| TABtouch | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Pinnacle | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -1.90%E -0.587%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-23 02:00 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.11%E -0.973%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 01:54 |
| Fliff | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.11%E -0.973%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| BetRivers | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.11%E -0.973%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.97%E -6.03%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Bally Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.11%E -0.973%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.97%E -6.03%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| SportsBet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -3.72%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -6.57%E -4.90%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 01:55 |
| Bet Victor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.39%E -1.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-23 01:48 |
| betano_uk | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.39%E -1.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-23 01:48 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 01:44 |
| BetAnything | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 01:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -9.36%E -7.20%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.39%E -1.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.39%E -1.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 01:30 |
| BetUS | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 01:44 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-23 00:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.94%EV -11.45%E -9.02%K -42.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.39%E -1.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-23 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-23 00:09 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| LeoVegas | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -13.71%E -4.81%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 1.0% | 2026-07-23 01:59 |
| Novig | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85% | 3.0% | 2026-07-23 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.33% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.67% | 8.7% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.33% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.67% | 8.7% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.66% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.34% | 16.9% | 2026-07-23 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 57.74% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 42.26% | 71.5% | 2026-07-23 02:15 |