Language:English
Portland Fire v Connecticut Sun
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Fire (Local)
Prediction 70.56%1.42fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -6.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.06%70.66%70.56%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.351.361.3877.52%74.12%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Connecticut Sun (Visit)
Prediction 29.44%3.40fair odd
EV +3.02%
Edge +0.864%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.037%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%29.34%29.44%30.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.203.203.5034.72%31.25%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Fire (Local): 70.56%; Connecticut Sun (Visit): 29.44%. For Connecticut Sun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.40. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.02%E +0.864%K +1.21%G +0.037% | 3.2% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +0.080%E +0.023%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.080%E +0.023%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.85%E -5.19%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.39%E -0.416%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -3.45%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -4.04%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.34%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.34%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.34%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.34%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.34%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.22%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.22%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.22%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -5.22%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.85%E -5.19%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.85%E -5.19%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -6.40%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -7.56%E -5.77%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -8.97%E -6.95%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.94%EV -15.23%E -5.29%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.98% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 30.02% | 0.6% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 1.9% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |