La scuola delle quote

Portland Fire v Connecticut Sun

Inizio: 2026-05-28 02:04 UTC

Finale: Portland Fire 71–61 Connecticut Sun

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Portland Fire (Casa)

Previsione 70.56%1.42quota equa
EV -2.62%
Vantaggio -1.90%
Kelly -6.90%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.06%70.66%70.56%72.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.351.361.3877.52%74.12%73.53%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Connecticut Sun (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.44%3.40quota equa
EV +3.02%
Vantaggio +0.864%
Kelly +1.21%
Crescita +0.037%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.66%29.34%29.44%30.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.203.203.5034.72%31.25%31.25%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Bet Victor1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.02%E +0.864%K +1.21%G +0.037%3.2%2026-05-28 01:59
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +0.080%E +0.023%K +0.033%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 01:59
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.080%E +0.023%K +0.033%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 01:59
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.85%E -5.19%K -21.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.39%E -0.416%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 01:59
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 01:59
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 01:59
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 01:59
Caesars1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -3.45%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 01:59
ReBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -4.04%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 01:59
BetAnything1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.34%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-28 01:59
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.34%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-28 01:59
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.34%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-28 01:59
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.34%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 01:59
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.34%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 01:59
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.22%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 01:59
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.22%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 01:59
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.22%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 02:00
MyBookie.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -5.22%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 02:00
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 02:00
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 01:59
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 01:59
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 01:59
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 01:59
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 01:59
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 02:00
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.85%E -5.19%K -21.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 02:00
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.85%E -5.19%K -21.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 02:00
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -6.40%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 02:00
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 02:00
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 01:59
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 01:59
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 01:59
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 01:59
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 01:59
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 02:00
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 02:00
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 01:59
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 01:59
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 01:59
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 01:59
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 02:00
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -7.56%E -5.77%K -24.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 01:59
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-28 01:59
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -8.97%E -6.95%K -30.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.94%EV -15.23%E -5.29%K -8.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-28 01:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-05-28 01:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-05-28 02:00
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.98%3.31I 30.21%NM 30.02%0.6%2026-05-28 01:59
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-28 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-05-28 02:00
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-05-28 01:59
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-05-28 02:00
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-05-28 02:00