La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Portland Fire v Connecticut Sun
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Portland Fire (Local)
Predicción 70.56%1.42momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -6.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.06%70.66%70.56%72.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.351.361.3877.52%74.12%73.53%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Connecticut Sun (Visitante)
Predicción 29.44%3.40momio equitativo
EV +3.02%
Ventaja +0.864%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.037%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.66%29.34%29.44%30.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.203.203.5034.72%31.25%31.25%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.02%E +0.864%K +1.21%G +0.037% | 3.2% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +0.080%E +0.023%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.080%E +0.023%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.85%E -5.19%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.39%E -0.416%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Caesars | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -3.45%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| ReBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -4.04%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.34%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| GTbets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.34%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.34%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.34%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.34%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.22%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.22%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.22%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -5.22%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| BetUS | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| TAB | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.85%E -5.19%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.85%E -5.19%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -6.40%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Neds | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| Fliff | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -7.56%E -5.77%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -8.97%E -6.95%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.94%EV -15.23%E -5.29%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| Novig | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.98% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 30.02% | 0.6% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| ProphetX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 1.9% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-05-28 02:00 |