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Phoenix Mercury v Washington Mystics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Phoenix Mercury (Local)
Prediction 45.56%2.19fair odd
EV +1.14%
Edge +0.514%
Kelly +0.936%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.39%45.74%47.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.102.102.2251.28%47.56%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Mystics (Visit)
Prediction 54.44%1.84fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.88%54.61%54.26%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.741.741.8060.98%57.46%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Phoenix Mercury (Local): 45.56%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 54.44%. For Phoenix Mercury (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV +1.14%E +0.514%K +0.936%G +0.011% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -8.00%E -4.73%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-26 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.230%E +0.105%K +0.192%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-26 01:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.230%E +0.105%K +0.192%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.08%E -5.44%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 01:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -1.14%E -0.524%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-26 02:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.05%E -0.952%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-26 01:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.05%E -0.952%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-26 01:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.05%E -0.952%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.27%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-26 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.05%E -0.952%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.27%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-26 01:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 01:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 01:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 01:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 01:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 01:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 01:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 01:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 01:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 01:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.10%E -1.74%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-26 01:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-26 00:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-26 02:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 20:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-26 01:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 20:28 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.38%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-26 01:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 01:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 01:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 01:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-26 01:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.00%E -4.73%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-26 01:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.08%E -5.44%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-26 01:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 01:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.69%E -2.75%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-26 01:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.69%E -2.75%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.18%E -2.38%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-26 01:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -6.15%E -2.98%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 01:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 20:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-26 02:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 22:12 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.27%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-26 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-26 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.06%E -3.46%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-26 01:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.06%E -3.46%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-26 01:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -7.06%E -3.46%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -10.72%E -6.53%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-26 01:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.97%E -3.95%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 20:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.97%E -3.95%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 20:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -11.16%E -5.72%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-26 01:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-26 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 21:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.48% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.52% | 1.3% | 2026-08-26 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 1.4% | 2026-08-26 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 1.4% | 2026-08-26 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 1.5% | 2026-08-26 01:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 1.9% | 2026-08-26 01:54 |
| Novig◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.38% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.62% | 3.4% | 2026-08-26 02:00 |