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Phoenix Mercury v Washington Mystics
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Phoenix Mercury (Local)
Predicción 45.56%2.19momio equitativo
EV +1.14%
Ventaja +0.514%
Kelly +0.936%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.15%45.39%45.74%47.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.102.102.2251.28%47.56%47.62%45.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Washington Mystics (Visitante)
Predicción 54.44%1.84momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -2.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.88%54.61%54.26%56.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.641.741.741.8060.98%57.46%57.47%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Phoenix Mercury (Local): 45.56%; Washington Mystics (Visitante): 54.44%. Para Phoenix Mercury (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.19. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.22, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.14%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV +1.14%E +0.514%K +0.936%G +0.011% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -8.00%E -4.73%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-26 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.230%E +0.105%K +0.192%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-26 01:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.230%E +0.105%K +0.192%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.08%E -5.44%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 01:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -1.14%E -0.524%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-26 02:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.05%E -0.952%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-26 01:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.05%E -0.952%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-26 01:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.05%E -0.952%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.27%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-26 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.05%E -0.952%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.27%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-26 01:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 01:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 01:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 01:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 01:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 01:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 01:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 01:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 01:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 01:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.10%E -1.74%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-26 01:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-26 00:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-26 02:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 20:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-26 01:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 20:28 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.38%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-26 01:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 01:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 01:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 01:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-26 01:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.00%E -4.73%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-26 01:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.08%E -5.44%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-26 01:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 01:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.69%E -2.75%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-26 01:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.69%E -2.75%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.18%E -2.38%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-26 01:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -6.15%E -2.98%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 01:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 20:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-26 02:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 22:12 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.27%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-26 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-26 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.06%E -3.46%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-26 01:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.06%E -3.46%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-26 01:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -7.06%E -3.46%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -10.72%E -6.53%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-26 01:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.97%E -3.95%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 20:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.97%E -3.95%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 20:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -11.16%E -5.72%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-26 01:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-26 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 21:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.48% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.52% | 1.3% | 2026-08-26 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 1.4% | 2026-08-26 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 1.4% | 2026-08-26 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 1.5% | 2026-08-26 01:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 1.9% | 2026-08-26 01:54 |
| Novig◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.38% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.62% | 3.4% | 2026-08-26 02:00 |