默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Phoenix Mercury v Washington Mystics

开赛时间: 2026-08-26 02:02 UTC

最终结果: Phoenix Mercury 84–94 Washington Mystics

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Phoenix Mercury (主队)

预测 45.56%2.19公平赔率
EV +1.14%
优势 +0.514%
Kelly +0.936%
增长率 +0.011%

假设最高赔率为 2.22

博彩公司预测分布
43.15%45.39%45.74%47.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.102.102.2251.28%47.56%47.62%45.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Washington Mystics (客队)

预测 54.44%1.84公平赔率
EV -2.01%
优势 -1.11%
Kelly -2.51%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
52.88%54.61%54.26%56.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.641.741.741.8060.98%57.46%57.47%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Phoenix Mercury (主队):45.56%;Washington Mystics (客队):54.44%。 对于“Phoenix Mercury (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.19。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.22,对应+1.14%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV +1.14%E +0.514%K +0.936%G +0.011%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -8.00%E -4.73%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 01:59
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.230%E +0.105%K +0.192%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-26 01:50
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.230%E +0.105%K +0.192%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.08%E -5.44%K -13.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 01:54
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -1.14%E -0.524%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-26 02:00
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.05%E -0.952%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-26 01:49
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.05%E -0.952%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-26 01:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.05%E -0.952%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.27%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-26 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.05%E -0.952%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.27%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-26 01:59
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 01:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 01:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 01:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 01:44
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 01:44
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 01:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 01:44
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 01:45
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 01:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.10%E -1.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-26 01:58
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-26 00:13
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-26 02:00
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 18:23
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 20:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-26 01:54
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 20:28
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 20:45
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.38%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 01:39
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 01:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 01:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 01:29
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 01:59
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.00%E -4.73%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-26 01:14
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.08%E -5.44%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-26 01:54
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 01:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.69%E -2.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 01:59
ReBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.69%E -2.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.18%E -2.38%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 01:58
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -6.15%E -2.98%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 01:54
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 20:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 02:00
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 22:12
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.27%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 02:00
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 01:59
Betsson🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.06%E -3.46%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 01:05
NordicBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.06%E -3.46%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 01:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -7.06%E -3.46%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -10.72%E -6.53%K -16.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-26 01:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.97%E -3.95%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 20:59
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.97%E -3.95%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 20:59
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -11.16%E -5.72%K -11.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-26 01:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-08-26 02:00
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-25 21:34
ProphetX◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.48%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.52%1.3%2026-08-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-08-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-08-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-08-26 01:49
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-08-26 01:54
Novig◎2.13I 46.95%NM 45.38%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.62%3.4%2026-08-26 02:00