Language:English
Phoenix Mercury v Toronto Tempo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Phoenix Mercury (Local)
Prediction 73.35%1.36fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -9.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.11%73.49%73.32%75.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.291.291.3283.33%77.56%77.52%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toronto Tempo (Visit)
Prediction 26.65%3.75fair odd
EV +3.92%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.053%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.80%26.51%26.68%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.623.603.9031.25%27.60%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Phoenix Mercury (Local): 73.35%; Toronto Tempo (Visit): 26.65%. For Toronto Tempo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%EV -4.64%E -3.57%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%EV +3.92%E +1.01%K +1.35%G +0.053% | 2.6% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.11%E -4.77%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +1.26%E +0.332%K +0.450%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.072%E -0.019%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.11%E -4.77%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.40%E -0.380%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -2.74%E -0.750%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.74%E -0.750%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.74%E -0.750%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -3.27%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 01:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.64%E -3.57%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.64%E -3.57%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 01:57 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.11%E -4.77%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.11%E -4.77%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.17%E -2.40%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.07%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.17%E -2.40%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.07%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -7.58%E -6.01%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.07%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.19%EV -11.98%E -9.98%K -59.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -8.07%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.17%E -2.40%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.64%E -3.57%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.64%E -3.57%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.64%E -3.57%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -14.73%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-05-20 01:56 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.9% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.9% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.9% | 2026-05-20 01:59 |