L’École des cotes

Phoenix Mercury v Toronto Tempo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 02:01 UTC

Score final : Phoenix Mercury 90–98 Toronto Tempo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Phoenix Mercury (Local)

Prévision 73.35%1.36cote équitable
EV -3.17%
Avantage -2.40%
Kelly -9.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.11%73.49%73.32%75.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.291.291.3283.33%77.56%77.52%75.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Toronto Tempo (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.65%3.75cote équitable
EV +3.92%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +1.35%
Croissance +0.053%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.80%26.51%26.68%28.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.623.603.9031.25%27.60%27.78%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%EV -4.64%E -3.57%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%EV +3.92%E +1.01%K +1.35%G +0.053%2.6%2026-05-20 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
theScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.11%E -4.77%K -21.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +1.26%E +0.332%K +0.450%G +0.006%4.4%2026-05-20 01:59
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.072%E -0.019%K -0.026%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 01:59
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.11%E -4.77%K -21.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.40%E -0.380%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 01:59
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -2.74%E -0.750%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-20 01:59
MyBookie.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.74%E -0.750%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 01:59
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.74%E -0.750%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 01:59
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -3.27%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 01:59
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 01:59
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 01:59
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 01:59
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 01:58
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 01:59
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 01:59
Fanatics1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.64%E -3.57%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 01:59
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 01:59
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 01:59
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 01:59
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 01:59
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.64%E -3.57%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 01:59
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 01:57
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 01:59
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 01:59
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 01:59
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 01:59
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.11%E -4.77%K -21.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 01:59
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.11%E -4.77%K -21.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.17%E -2.40%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.07%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.17%E -2.40%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.07%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -7.58%E -6.01%K -29.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.07%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 01:59
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.19%EV -11.98%E -9.98%K -59.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -8.07%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-20 01:59
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.17%E -2.40%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 01:59
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.64%E -3.57%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 01:59
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.64%E -3.57%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 01:59
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.64%E -3.57%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -14.73%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 01:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-05-20 01:56
Polymarket1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-05-20 01:59
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-05-20 01:59
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-05-20 01:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-05-20 01:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-05-20 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-05-20 01:59