A Escola das Odds

Phoenix Mercury v Toronto Tempo

Início: 2026-05-20 02:01 UTC

Final: Phoenix Mercury 90–98 Toronto Tempo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Phoenix Mercury (Local)

Previsão 73.35%1.36odd justa
EV -3.17%
Vantagem -2.40%
Kelly -9.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.11%73.49%73.32%75.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.201.291.291.3283.33%77.56%77.52%75.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Toronto Tempo (Visitante)

Previsão 26.65%3.75odd justa
EV +3.92%
Vantagem +1.01%
Kelly +1.35%
Crescimento +0.053%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.80%26.51%26.68%28.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.623.603.9031.25%27.60%27.78%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%EV -4.64%E -3.57%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%EV +3.92%E +1.01%K +1.35%G +0.053%2.6%2026-05-20 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.59%E +0.673%K +0.910%G +0.024%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
theScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.11%E -4.77%K -21.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +1.26%E +0.332%K +0.450%G +0.006%4.4%2026-05-20 01:59
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.84%E -5.39%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.072%E -0.019%K -0.026%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 01:59
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.11%E -4.77%K -21.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.40%E -0.380%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 01:59
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -2.74%E -0.750%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-20 01:59
MyBookie.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.74%E -0.750%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 01:59
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.74%E -0.750%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 01:59
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -3.27%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 01:59
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 01:59
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 01:59
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 01:59
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 01:58
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 01:59
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 01:59
Fanatics1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.64%E -3.57%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 01:59
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 01:59
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 01:59
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 01:59
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 01:59
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.64%E -3.57%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 01:59
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 01:57
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.91%E -2.98%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 01:59
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 01:59
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 01:59
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 01:59
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.11%E -4.77%K -21.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 01:59
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.11%E -4.77%K -21.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.17%E -2.40%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.07%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.17%E -2.40%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.07%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 01:59
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -7.58%E -6.01%K -29.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.07%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 01:59
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.19%EV -11.98%E -9.98%K -59.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -8.07%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-20 01:59
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.17%E -2.40%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 01:59
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.64%E -3.57%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 01:59
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.64%E -3.57%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 01:59
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.64%E -3.57%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -14.73%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 01:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-05-20 01:56
Polymarket1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-05-20 01:59
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-05-20 01:59
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-05-20 01:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-05-20 01:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-05-20 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-05-20 01:59