Language:English
Phoenix Mercury v Seattle Storm
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Phoenix Mercury (Local)
Prediction 69.26%1.44fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -3.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.13%69.24%69.20%71.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.371.361.4277.52%72.95%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Storm (Visit)
Prediction 30.74%3.25fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +0.978%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.046%
assuming max odds 3.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.51%30.76%30.80%32.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.083.103.3634.72%32.42%32.26%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Phoenix Mercury (Local): 69.26%; Seattle Storm (Visit): 30.74%. For Seattle Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.36, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -7.19%E -5.37%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV +3.29%E +0.978%K +1.39%G +0.046% | 4.4% | 2026-06-20 18:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -5.11%E -3.73%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV +1.44%E +0.437%K +0.627%G +0.009% | 3.3% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.22%EV -5.11%E -3.73%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV -0.709%E -0.219%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.11%E -3.73%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.63%E -0.510%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.11%E -3.73%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.63%E -0.510%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.50%E -4.81%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.63%E -0.510%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.88%E -5.93%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.63%E -0.510%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.87%EV -6.50%E -4.81%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.13%EV -3.78%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-20 18:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 18:52 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -2.34%E -1.66%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 18:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -2.34%E -1.66%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -6.86%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -2.34%E -1.66%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -6.86%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -2.34%E -1.66%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -6.86%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.73%E -2.68%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -7.16%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.04%E -2.17%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -3.04%E -2.17%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -8.39%E -2.82%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -9.01%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.65%E -1.16%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.65%E -1.16%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -10.65%E -8.26%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.94%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-06-20 18:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.94% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.06% | 1.4% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 1.9% | 2026-06-20 19:00 |