L’École des cotes

Phoenix Mercury v Seattle Storm

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-20 19:02 UTC

Score final : Phoenix Mercury 93–73 Seattle Storm

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Phoenix Mercury (Local)

Prévision 69.26%1.44cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -3.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.13%69.24%69.20%71.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.371.361.4277.52%72.95%73.53%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Storm (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.74%3.25cote équitable
EV +3.29%
Avantage +0.978%
Kelly +1.39%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 3.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.51%30.76%30.80%32.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.083.103.3634.72%32.42%32.26%29.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -7.19%E -5.37%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV +3.29%E +0.978%K +1.39%G +0.046%4.4%2026-06-20 18:45
Bet Victor1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -5.11%E -3.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV +1.44%E +0.437%K +0.627%G +0.009%3.3%2026-06-20 18:59
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.22%EV -5.11%E -3.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV -0.709%E -0.219%K -0.318%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 19:00
Bovada1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.11%E -3.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.63%E -0.510%K -0.741%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 18:59
theScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.11%E -3.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.63%E -0.510%K -0.741%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.50%E -4.81%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.63%E -0.510%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:00
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.88%E -5.93%K -23.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.63%E -0.510%K -0.741%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 18:59
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 18:59
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:00
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:00
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:00
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:00
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:59
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:00
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:00
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:59
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.87%EV -6.50%E -4.81%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.13%EV -3.78%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 18:59
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 18:59
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 19:00
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 18:55
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 18:52
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 18:59
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 18:59
BetAnything1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -2.34%E -1.66%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-20 18:59
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 18:59
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 18:59
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 18:58
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -2.34%E -1.66%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -6.86%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 18:59
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -2.34%E -1.66%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -6.86%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 19:00
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -2.34%E -1.66%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -6.86%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 18:59
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.73%E -2.68%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -7.16%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 18:59
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.04%E -2.17%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 18:59
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 18:59
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 18:59
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -3.04%E -2.17%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -8.39%E -2.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 19:00
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -9.01%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 19:00
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 18:59
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 18:59
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 18:59
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.65%E -1.16%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.65%E -1.16%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 19:00
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-20 18:59
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -10.65%E -8.26%K -36.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.94%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-20 18:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-20 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-06-20 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-06-20 18:59
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-06-20 19:00
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-06-20 18:59
ProphetX1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-06-20 19:00
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 69.94%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.06%1.4%2026-06-20 19:00
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-06-20 19:00