La escuela de los momios

Phoenix Mercury v Seattle Storm

Inicio: 2026-06-20 19:02 UTC

Final: Phoenix Mercury 93–73 Seattle Storm

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Phoenix Mercury (Local)

Predicción 69.26%1.44momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -3.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.13%69.24%69.20%71.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.371.361.4277.52%72.95%73.53%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Seattle Storm (Visitante)

Predicción 30.74%3.25momio equitativo
EV +3.29%
Ventaja +0.978%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.046%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.51%30.76%30.80%32.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.083.103.3634.72%32.42%32.26%29.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -7.19%E -5.37%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV +3.29%E +0.978%K +1.39%G +0.046%4.4%2026-06-20 18:45
Bet Victor1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -5.11%E -3.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV +1.44%E +0.437%K +0.627%G +0.009%3.3%2026-06-20 18:59
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.22%EV -5.11%E -3.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV -0.709%E -0.219%K -0.318%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 19:00
Bovada1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.11%E -3.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.63%E -0.510%K -0.741%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 18:59
theScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.11%E -3.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.63%E -0.510%K -0.741%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.50%E -4.81%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.63%E -0.510%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:00
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.88%E -5.93%K -23.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.63%E -0.510%K -0.741%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 18:59
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 18:59
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:00
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:00
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:00
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:00
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:59
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:00
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:00
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:59
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.87%EV -6.50%E -4.81%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.13%EV -3.78%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 18:59
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 18:59
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 19:00
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 18:55
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 18:52
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 18:59
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 18:59
BetAnything1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -2.34%E -1.66%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-20 18:59
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 18:59
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 18:59
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 18:58
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -2.34%E -1.66%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -6.86%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 18:59
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -2.34%E -1.66%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -6.86%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 19:00
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -2.34%E -1.66%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -6.86%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 18:59
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.73%E -2.68%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -7.16%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 18:59
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.04%E -2.17%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 18:59
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 18:59
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 18:59
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -3.04%E -2.17%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -8.39%E -2.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 19:00
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -9.01%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 19:00
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 18:59
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 18:59
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 18:59
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.65%E -1.16%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.65%E -1.16%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 19:00
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-20 18:59
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -10.65%E -8.26%K -36.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.94%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-20 18:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-20 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-06-20 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-06-20 18:59
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-06-20 19:00
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-06-20 18:59
ProphetX1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-06-20 19:00
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 69.94%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.06%1.4%2026-06-20 19:00
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-06-20 19:00