语言:简体中文
Phoenix Mercury v Portland Fire
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Phoenix Mercury (主队)
预测 64.22%1.56公平赔率
EV +0.191%
优势 +0.122%
Kelly +0.341%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 1.56
博彩公司预测分布
59.72%64.09%64.46%66.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.431.501.501.5669.93%66.67%66.67%64.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
Portland Fire (客队)
预测 35.78%2.80公平赔率
EV +1.96%
优势 +0.687%
Kelly +1.06%
增长率 +0.021%
假设最高赔率为 2.85
博彩公司预测分布
33.72%35.91%35.54%40.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.582.602.8546.51%38.69%38.46%35.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Phoenix Mercury (主队)：64.22%；Portland Fire (客队)：35.78%。 对于“Portland Fire (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.80。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.85，对应+1.96%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +1.96%E +0.687%K +1.06%G +0.021% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.59%E -3.80%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV +0.171%E +0.061%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.62%E -0.588%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.52%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.62%E -0.588%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 22:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.52%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.62%E -0.588%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.52%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.62%E -0.588%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 22:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.52%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.62%E -0.588%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -8.16%E -5.71%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -1.62%E -0.588%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.98%E -0.721%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.98%E -0.721%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 22:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.59%E -3.80%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.69%E -0.990%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 22:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.41%E -1.26%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.41%E -1.26%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.31%E -2.89%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.41%E -1.26%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.41%E -1.26%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:07 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.48%E -1.68%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.23%E -4.27%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.23%E -4.27%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.38%E -1.56%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.02%E -2.00%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.59%E -3.80%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -1.09%E -0.710%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -8.42%E -3.29%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -1.74%E -1.13%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -9.85%E -3.91%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.02%E -2.00%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 22:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.452%E -0.291%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -12.35%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.452%E -0.291%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -12.35%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -1.09%E -0.710%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -14.14%E -5.89%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -15.93%E -6.78%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.72%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.28%EV -23.08%E -10.74%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-16 22:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.72%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.28%EV -23.08%E -10.74%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 22:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |