Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Phoenix Mercury v Portland Fire

Inizio: 2026-08-16 23:08 UTC

Finale: Phoenix Mercury 85–88 Portland Fire

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

46 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Phoenix Mercury (Casa)

Previsione 64.22%1.56quota equa
EV +0.191%
Vantaggio +0.122%
Kelly +0.341%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.72%64.09%64.46%66.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.501.501.5669.93%66.67%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Portland Fire (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.78%2.80quota equa
EV +1.96%
Vantaggio +0.687%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.72%35.91%35.54%40.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.582.602.8546.51%38.69%38.46%35.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Phoenix Mercury (Casa): 64.22%; Portland Fire (Trasferta): 35.78%. Per Portland Fire (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.80. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.85, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.96%.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +1.96%E +0.687%K +1.06%G +0.021%4.1%2026-08-16 22:59
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.59%E -3.80%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV +0.171%E +0.061%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 22:59
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.62%E -0.588%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 22:44
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.52%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.62%E -0.588%K -0.925%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.52%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.62%E -0.588%K -0.925%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.52%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.62%E -0.588%K -0.925%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 22:19
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.52%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.62%E -0.588%K -0.925%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -8.16%E -5.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -1.62%E -0.588%K -0.925%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.98%E -0.721%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 22:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.98%E -0.721%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 22:45
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.59%E -3.80%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.69%E -0.990%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 22:09
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.41%E -1.26%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 22:44
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.41%E -1.26%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 22:44
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.31%E -2.89%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.41%E -1.26%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 22:44
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.41%E -1.26%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 16:07
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.48%E -1.68%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 22:49
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 16:09
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.23%E -4.27%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 22:10
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.23%E -4.27%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 22:10
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.38%E -1.56%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 23:00
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.02%E -2.00%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 22:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 22:59
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 22:59
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.59%E -3.80%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 23:00
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -1.09%E -0.710%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -8.42%E -3.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 22:55
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 22:55
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -1.74%E -1.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -9.85%E -3.91%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.02%E -2.00%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 22:58
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 22:44
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 22:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 22:59
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 22:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 22:59
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 23:00
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 22:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.452%E -0.291%K -0.821%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -12.35%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.452%E -0.291%K -0.821%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -12.35%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 22:59
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -1.09%E -0.710%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -14.14%E -5.89%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 22:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -15.93%E -6.78%K -11.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 22:59
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.72%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.28%EV -23.08%E -10.74%K -20.07%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-16 22:58
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.72%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.28%EV -23.08%E -10.74%K -20.07%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-16 22:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-08-16 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-08-16 23:00
Polymarket◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-16 20:50
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-16 22:25
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-08-16 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-16 23:00
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-16 23:00
ProphetX◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-08-16 23:00