Langue:Français
Phoenix Mercury v Portland Fire
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Phoenix Mercury (Local)
Prévision 64.22%1.56cote équitable
EV +0.191%
Avantage +0.122%
Kelly +0.341%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 1.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.72%64.09%64.46%66.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.431.501.501.5669.93%66.67%66.67%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Portland Fire (Visiteur)
Prévision 35.78%2.80cote équitable
EV +1.96%
Avantage +0.687%
Kelly +1.06%
Croissance +0.021%
avec la cote maximale 2.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.72%35.91%35.54%40.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.582.602.8546.51%38.69%38.46%35.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Phoenix Mercury (Local) : 64.22% ; Portland Fire (Visiteur) : 35.78%. Pour Portland Fire (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.80. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.85, soit une espérance positive de +1.96%.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +1.96%E +0.687%K +1.06%G +0.021% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.59%E -3.80%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV +0.171%E +0.061%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.62%E -0.588%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.52%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.62%E -0.588%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 22:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.52%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.62%E -0.588%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.52%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.62%E -0.588%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 22:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.52%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.62%E -0.588%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -8.16%E -5.71%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -1.62%E -0.588%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.98%E -0.721%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.98%E -0.721%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 22:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.59%E -3.80%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.69%E -0.990%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 22:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.41%E -1.26%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.41%E -1.26%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.31%E -2.89%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.41%E -1.26%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.41%E -1.26%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:07 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.48%E -1.68%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.23%E -4.27%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.23%E -4.27%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.38%E -1.56%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.02%E -2.00%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.59%E -3.80%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -1.09%E -0.710%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -8.42%E -3.29%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -1.74%E -1.13%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -9.85%E -3.91%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.02%E -2.00%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 22:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.191%E +0.122%K +0.341%G +0.001% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.28%E -4.55%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.452%E -0.291%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -12.35%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.452%E -0.291%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -12.35%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -1.09%E -0.710%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -14.14%E -5.89%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -15.93%E -6.78%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.72%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.28%EV -23.08%E -10.74%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-16 22:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.72%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.28%EV -23.08%E -10.74%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 22:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |