A Escola das Odds

Phoenix Mercury v Minnesota Lynx

Início: 2026-05-13 02:01 UTC

Final: Phoenix Mercury 84–88 Minnesota Lynx

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Phoenix Mercury (Local)

Previsão 64.38%1.55odd justa
EV -3.42%
Vantagem -2.28%
Kelly -6.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.41%64.46%64.44%67.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.331.461.481.5075.19%68.42%67.57%66.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Minnesota Lynx (Visitante)

Previsão 35.62%2.81odd justa
EV +3.29%
Vantagem +1.13%
Kelly +1.73%
Crescimento +0.057%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.87%35.54%35.56%36.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.732.702.9038.46%36.62%37.04%34.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 01:59
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +2.57%E +0.894%K +1.37%G +0.035%5.1%2026-05-13 02:00
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -5.36%E -3.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -1.70%E -0.616%K -0.966%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 01:46
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-13 01:58
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 01:59
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 01:59
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 01:59
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 02:00
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.41%E -0.880%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-13 02:00
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.41%E -0.880%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-13 02:00
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -7.29%E -5.06%K -16.56%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 01:59
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.36%E -3.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.12%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 02:00
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 02:00
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.07%E -2.73%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 02:00
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.07%E -2.73%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 02:00
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.07%E -2.73%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 01:59
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 01:59
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.36%E -3.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 01:59
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.36%E -3.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 01:59
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -14.37%E -10.80%K -43.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 02:00
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 02:00
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 02:00
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.64%E -4.58%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 02:00
MyBookie.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.07%E -2.73%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.97%E -2.26%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 02:00
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.33%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 01:58
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.29%E -5.06%K -16.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 01:59
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 02:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 01:59
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 01:59
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 01:59
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 01:59
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 01:59
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.64%E -4.58%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 02:00
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-05-13 02:00
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-13 02:00
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.2%2026-05-13 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.3%2026-05-13 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%1.7%2026-05-13 02:00
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%2.8%2026-05-13 02:00
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 41.32%1.00I 100.00%NM 58.68%70.4%2026-05-13 02:00