L’École des cotes

Phoenix Mercury v Minnesota Lynx

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 02:01 UTC

Score final : Phoenix Mercury 84–88 Minnesota Lynx

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Phoenix Mercury (Local)

Prévision 64.38%1.55cote équitable
EV -3.42%
Avantage -2.28%
Kelly -6.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.41%64.46%64.44%67.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.461.481.5075.19%68.42%67.57%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Minnesota Lynx (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.62%2.81cote équitable
EV +3.29%
Avantage +1.13%
Kelly +1.73%
Croissance +0.057%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.87%35.54%35.56%36.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.732.702.9038.46%36.62%37.04%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 01:59
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +2.57%E +0.894%K +1.37%G +0.035%5.1%2026-05-13 02:00
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -5.36%E -3.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -1.70%E -0.616%K -0.966%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 01:46
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-13 01:58
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 01:59
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 01:59
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 01:59
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 02:00
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.41%E -0.880%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-13 02:00
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.41%E -0.880%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-13 02:00
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -7.29%E -5.06%K -16.56%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 01:59
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.36%E -3.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.12%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 02:00
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 02:00
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.07%E -2.73%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 02:00
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.07%E -2.73%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 02:00
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.07%E -2.73%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 01:59
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 01:59
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.36%E -3.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 01:59
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.36%E -3.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 01:59
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -14.37%E -10.80%K -43.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 02:00
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 02:00
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 02:00
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.64%E -4.58%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 02:00
MyBookie.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.07%E -2.73%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.97%E -2.26%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 02:00
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.33%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 01:58
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.29%E -5.06%K -16.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 01:59
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 02:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 01:59
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 01:59
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 01:59
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 01:59
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 01:59
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.64%E -4.58%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 02:00
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-05-13 02:00
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-13 02:00
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.2%2026-05-13 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.3%2026-05-13 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%1.7%2026-05-13 02:00
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%2.8%2026-05-13 02:00
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 41.32%1.00I 100.00%NM 58.68%70.4%2026-05-13 02:00