La escuela de los momios

Phoenix Mercury v Minnesota Lynx

Inicio: 2026-05-13 02:01 UTC

Final: Phoenix Mercury 84–88 Minnesota Lynx

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Phoenix Mercury (Local)

Predicción 64.38%1.55momio equitativo
EV -3.42%
Ventaja -2.28%
Kelly -6.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.41%64.46%64.44%67.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.461.481.5075.19%68.42%67.57%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Lynx (Visitante)

Predicción 35.62%2.81momio equitativo
EV +3.29%
Ventaja +1.13%
Kelly +1.73%
Crecimiento +0.057%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.87%35.54%35.56%36.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.732.702.9038.46%36.62%37.04%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.29%E +1.13%K +1.73%G +0.057%4.9%2026-05-13 01:59
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +2.57%E +0.894%K +1.37%G +0.035%5.1%2026-05-13 02:00
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -5.36%E -3.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -1.70%E -0.616%K -0.966%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 01:46
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-13 01:58
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 01:59
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 01:59
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 01:59
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 02:00
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.41%E -0.880%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-13 02:00
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.41%E -0.880%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-13 02:00
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -7.29%E -5.06%K -16.56%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 01:59
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.36%E -3.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.12%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 02:00
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 02:00
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.07%E -2.73%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 02:00
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.07%E -2.73%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 02:00
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.07%E -2.73%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 01:59
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 01:59
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.36%E -3.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 01:59
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.36%E -3.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 01:59
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -14.37%E -10.80%K -43.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 02:00
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 02:00
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 02:00
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.64%E -4.58%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 02:00
MyBookie.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.07%E -2.73%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.97%E -2.26%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 02:00
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.33%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 01:58
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.29%E -5.06%K -16.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 01:59
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 02:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 01:59
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.42%E -2.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 01:59
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 01:59
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 01:59
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 01:59
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.64%E -4.58%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 02:00
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-05-13 02:00
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-13 02:00
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.2%2026-05-13 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.3%2026-05-13 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%1.7%2026-05-13 02:00
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%2.8%2026-05-13 02:00
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 41.32%1.00I 100.00%NM 58.68%70.4%2026-05-13 02:00