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Phoenix Mercury v Los Angeles Sparks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Phoenix Mercury (Local)
Prediction 47.80%2.09fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.981%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.82%47.78%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.992.002.0553.48%50.18%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Los Angeles Sparks (Visit)
Prediction 52.20%1.92fair odd
EV -0.818%
Edge -0.431%
Kelly -0.909%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%52.18%52.22%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.821.9058.82%55.15%54.95%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Phoenix Mercury (Local): 47.80%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visit): 52.20%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.90, with an expected value of -0.818%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.01%E -0.981%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.01%E -0.981%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.17%E -5.27%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -3.92%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.52%E -3.05%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -0.818%E -0.431%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-14 01:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 01:58 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.69%E -5.60%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.88%E -2.45%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -2.91%E -1.56%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.88%E -2.45%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.70%E -4.56%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.62%EV -10.62%E -5.68%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.38%EV -11.26%E -6.62%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04% | 3.7% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |