A Escola das Odds

Phoenix Mercury v Los Angeles Sparks

Início: 2026-06-14 02:02 UTC

Final: Phoenix Mercury 102–111 Los Angeles Sparks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Phoenix Mercury (Local)

Previsão 47.80%2.09odd justa
EV -2.01%
Vantagem -0.981%
Kelly -1.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.91%47.82%47.78%48.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.871.992.002.0553.48%50.18%50.00%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)

Previsão 52.20%1.92odd justa
EV -0.818%
Vantagem -0.431%
Kelly -0.909%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.07%52.18%52.22%54.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.811.821.9058.82%55.15%54.95%52.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.01%E -0.981%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 02:00
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.01%E -0.981%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.17%E -5.27%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 02:00
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 02:00
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -3.92%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.52%E -3.05%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 01:59
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -0.818%E -0.431%K -0.909%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-14 01:54
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 02:00
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 01:58
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 01:59
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 02:00
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 01:59
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 02:00
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 01:59
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 01:59
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 02:00
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 02:00
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 02:00
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 02:00
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 02:00
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 02:00
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 02:00
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 02:00
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 02:00
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 02:00
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 02:00
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 02:00
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 02:00
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 02:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 01:59
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 02:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 01:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 01:59
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.69%E -5.60%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 02:00
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.88%E -2.45%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -2.91%E -1.56%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 02:00
ReBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.88%E -2.45%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 01:59
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 01:59
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 02:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 01:59
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 01:59
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 01:59
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.70%E -4.56%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 02:00
PMU (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.62%EV -10.62%E -5.68%K -12.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.38%EV -11.26%E -6.62%K -16.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-14 02:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-06-14 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-06-14 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-06-14 02:00
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-14 02:00
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-14 02:00
Novig2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-06-14 02:00
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%3.7%2026-06-14 02:00