La escuela de los momiosPhoenix Mercury v Los Angeles Sparks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Phoenix Mercury (Local)
Predicción 47.80%2.09momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -0.981%
Kelly -1.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.91%47.82%47.78%48.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.992.002.0553.48%50.18%50.00%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)
Predicción 52.20%1.92momio equitativo
EV -0.818%
Ventaja -0.431%
Kelly -0.909%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.07%52.18%52.22%54.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.811.821.9058.82%55.15%54.95%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.01%E -0.981%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.01%E -0.981%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.17%E -5.27%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Neds | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -3.92%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.52%E -3.05%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -0.818%E -0.431%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-14 01:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 01:58 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| betPARX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.69%E -5.60%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.88%E -2.45%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -2.91%E -1.56%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| ReBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.88%E -2.45%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.70%E -4.56%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.62%EV -10.62%E -5.68%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.38%EV -11.26%E -6.62%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Polymarket | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| Novig | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04% | 3.7% | 2026-06-14 02:00 |