A Escola das Odds

Phoenix Mercury v Golden State Valkyries

2026-07-30 02:00 UTC — WNBA

Frente a frente

36 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Phoenix Mercury (Local)

Previsão 35.01%2.86odd justa
EV +4.32%
Vantagem +1.45%
Kelly +2.18%
Crescimento +0.094%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.27%35.14%35.00%36.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.712.752.9840.00%36.94%36.36%33.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)

Previsão 64.99%1.54odd justa
EV -1.86%
Vantagem -1.23%
Kelly -3.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.44%64.86%65.00%67.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.401.451.451.5171.43%68.91%68.97%66.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (36 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV +4.32%E +1.45%K +2.18%G +0.094%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -7.71%E -5.43%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-23 04:20
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.98%E -0.708%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.81%E -2.57%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-24 12:35
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.98%E -0.708%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.71%E -5.43%K -18.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 04:40
Caesars2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -2.68%E -0.965%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.46%E -3.03%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 11:20
FanDuel2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -3.38%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 15:45
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:05
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:05
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:05
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:05
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:05
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:05
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:05
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:05
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:04
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 16:25
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 16:25
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 16:25
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.06%E -4.94%K -16.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 05:40
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.01%E -6.43%K -22.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 13:40
Coolbet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -4.43%E -1.62%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 02:15
GTbets2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.51%E -1.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-24 04:40
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.81%E -2.57%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 04:40
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.81%E -2.57%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-23 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.51%E -1.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-23 21:50
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.51%E -1.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-23 21:50
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.11%E -3.50%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 04:40
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.11%E -3.50%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 04:40
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 04:40
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -7.93%E -3.02%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -9.01%E -6.43%K -22.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 12:05
DraftKings2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -8.28%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -1.86%E -1.23%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 21:54
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.98%E -3.46%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 08:04
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -10.73%E -4.21%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 12:45
betano_uk2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -10.73%E -4.21%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-23 21:50
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -10.73%E -4.21%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-23 21:54
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%EV -8.36%E -5.93%K -20.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 04:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%4.0%2026-07-26 02:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-25 10:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-25 10:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-25 10:30
Arbitragem (1 combinação) +0.22%1xBet 2.98 (33.6%) / DraftKings 1.51 (66.4%)Mostrar detalhes
Phoenix Mercury (Local)Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)Margem
1xBet 2.98 (33.6%)DraftKings 1.51 (66.4%)+0.218%