La escuela de los momiosPhoenix Mercury v Golden State Valkyries
Resultado del partido
Phoenix Mercury (Local)
Predicción 35.01%2.86momio equitativo
EV +4.32%
Ventaja +1.45%
Kelly +2.18%
Crecimiento +0.094%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.27%35.14%35.00%36.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.712.752.9840.00%36.94%36.36%33.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)
Predicción 64.99%1.54momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -3.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.44%64.86%65.00%67.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.451.451.5171.43%68.91%68.97%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV +4.32%E +1.45%K +2.18%G +0.094% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -7.71%E -5.43%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-23 04:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.98%E -0.708%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.81%E -2.57%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-24 12:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.98%E -0.708%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.71%E -5.43%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-24 04:40 |
| Caesars | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -2.68%E -0.965%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.46%E -3.03%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-24 11:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -3.38%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-23 15:45 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 12:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 12:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 12:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 12:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 12:05 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 12:05 |
| Bally Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 12:04 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 16:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.06%E -4.94%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-24 05:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.01%E -6.43%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 13:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -4.43%E -1.62%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-25 02:15 |
| GTbets | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.51%E -1.67%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-24 04:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.81%E -2.57%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-24 04:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.81%E -2.57%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.51%E -1.67%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Neds | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.51%E -1.67%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.11%E -3.50%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-24 04:40 |
| Betsson | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.11%E -3.50%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-24 04:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-24 04:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -7.93%E -3.02%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -9.01%E -6.43%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-23 12:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -8.28%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -1.86%E -1.23%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-25 21:54 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.98%E -3.46%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-24 08:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -10.73%E -4.21%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-24 12:45 |
| betano_uk | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -10.73%E -4.21%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-23 21:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -10.73%E -4.21%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-23 21:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%EV -8.36%E -5.93%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-24 04:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41% | 4.0% | 2026-07-26 02:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-07-25 10:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-07-25 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-07-25 10:30 |
Arbitraje (1 combinación) +0.22%1xBet 2.98 (33.6%) / DraftKings 1.51 (66.4%)Ver detalles
| Phoenix Mercury (Local) | Golden State Valkyries (Visitante) | Margen |
|---|---|---|
| 1xBet 2.98 (33.6%) | DraftKings 1.51 (66.4%) | +0.218% |