Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Phoenix Mercury v Golden State Valkyries

Inizio: 2026-07-30 02:11 UTC

Finale: Phoenix Mercury 91–89 Golden State Valkyries

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Phoenix Mercury (Casa)

Previsione 41.65%2.40quota equa
EV -0.032%
Vantaggio -0.013%
Kelly -0.023%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.10%41.63%41.70%43.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.302.302.4046.51%43.46%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Golden State Valkyries (Trasferta)

Previsione 58.35%1.71quota equa
EV -2.56%
Vantaggio -1.53%
Kelly -3.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.85%58.37%58.30%59.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.631.621.6764.52%61.53%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Phoenix Mercury (Casa): 41.65%; Golden State Valkyries (Trasferta): 58.35%. Per Phoenix Mercury (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.401. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.400, con un valore atteso del -0.032%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -0.032%E -0.013%K -0.023%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 01:49
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -0.032%E -0.013%K -0.023%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 01:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.032%E -0.013%K -0.023%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 01:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.032%E -0.013%K -0.023%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 01:29
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.032%E -0.013%K -0.023%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 01:30
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.032%E -0.013%K -0.023%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 02:00
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.032%E -0.013%K -0.023%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 01:59
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -0.448%E -0.187%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -6.65%E -4.15%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 01:35
BetAnything🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -1.28%E -0.541%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -4.31%E -2.63%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-30 01:30
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%EV -1.70%E -0.719%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -4.90%E -3.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-30 01:55
GTbets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.11%E -0.900%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 01:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.11%E -0.900%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 01:39
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.11%E -0.900%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 01:53
MyBookie.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 01:49
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.36%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.36%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 00:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.36%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 00:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.36%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 00:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.36%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 00:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.36%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 00:55
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.36%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 00:50
Bally Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.36%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 00:54
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 01:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.31%E -2.63%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 01:30
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.90%E -3.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 01:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 00:55
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 00:54
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 00:54
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 02:00
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.23%E -4.55%K -12.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 01:35
Bet Right🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.03%E -2.21%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 02:00
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.86%E -2.59%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 01:50
DraftKings🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.86%E -2.59%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 00:55
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.56%E -1.53%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 00:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 01:55
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 01:55
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.90%E -3.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 02:00
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 01:58
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 00:55
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.65%E -4.15%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 01:38
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.65%E -4.15%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 01:40
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -7.53%E -3.39%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -2.56%E -1.53%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 00:58
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.36%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.56%E -1.53%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 00:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.36%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.56%E -1.53%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 00:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.36%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.56%E -1.53%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 00:50
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.36%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 00:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.36%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-30 00:50
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.44%E -4.86%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.65%E -4.15%K -11.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-30 00:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-30 00:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-07-30 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-07-30 02:00
ProphetX2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-07-30 01:30
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%1.2%2026-07-30 02:00
Novig2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%1.5%2026-07-30 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%1.5%2026-07-30 02:00
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-07-30 02:00