La scuola delle quote

Phoenix Mercury v Golden State Valkyries

2026-07-30 02:00 UTC — WNBA

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Phoenix Mercury (Casa)

Previsione 35.10%2.85quota equa
EV +4.59%
Vantaggio +1.54%
Kelly +2.32%
Crescita +0.106%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.27%35.21%35.25%36.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.702.732.9840.00%37.02%36.70%33.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Golden State Valkyries (Trasferta)

Previsione 64.90%1.54quota equa
EV -2.00%
Vantaggio -1.32%
Kelly -3.92%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.44%64.79%64.75%67.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.451.451.5171.43%68.79%68.97%66.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV +4.59%E +1.54%K +2.32%G +0.106%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -7.84%E -5.52%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-23 04:20
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.73%E -0.616%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.94%E -2.67%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-24 12:35
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.73%E -0.616%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.84%E -5.52%K -18.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 09:10
Caesars2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -2.43%E -0.873%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.59%E -3.13%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 11:20
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.89%E -4.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:05
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.89%E -4.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.89%E -4.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:05
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.89%E -4.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:05
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.89%E -4.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:05
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.89%E -4.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:05
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.89%E -4.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:05
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.89%E -4.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:05
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.89%E -4.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:05
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.89%E -4.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 12:04
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 16:25
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 16:25
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.48%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 16:25
Coolbet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -4.18%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 09:10
FanDuel2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.53%E -1.67%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.59%E -3.13%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 05:25
SportsBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -4.53%E -1.67%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 05:29
GTbets2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.24%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.65%E -1.76%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-24 04:40
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.24%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.94%E -2.67%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 04:40
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.24%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.94%E -2.67%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-23 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.65%E -1.76%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-23 21:50
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.65%E -1.76%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-23 21:50
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.24%E -3.59%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 04:40
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.24%E -3.59%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 04:40
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.99%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.89%E -4.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 04:40
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -7.69%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 12:05
DraftKings2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -2.00%E -1.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 21:54
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 05:25
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.75%E -3.36%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 08:04
betano_uk2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.50%E -4.12%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.89%E -4.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 03:58
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.50%E -4.12%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.89%E -4.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 03:59
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -10.50%E -4.12%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 12:45
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -12.26%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%EV -8.49%E -6.02%K -20.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 04:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%5.1%2026-07-26 05:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-25 10:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-25 10:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-25 10:30
Arbitraggio (1 combinazione) +0.22%1xBet 2.98 (33.6%) / DraftKings 1.51 (66.4%)Mostra dettagli
Phoenix Mercury (Casa)Golden State Valkyries (Trasferta)Margine
1xBet 2.98 (33.6%)DraftKings 1.51 (66.4%)+0.218%