The School of Odds

Phoenix Mercury v Chicago Sky

2026-07-08 02:00 — WNBA

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Option 1: Phoenix Mercury (Local)

Odds
1.4867.57%Min
1.5464.89%Mean
1.5465.15%Median
1.6261.73%Max
Consensus probabilities
58.88%1.698Min
62.50%1.600Max
61.51%1.626Mean
61.73%1.620Median
61.75%1.619IQM
61.52%1.626Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.62 under the IQM model: 61.75%

EV +0.040%Edge +0.025%Kelly +0.064%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Chicago Sky (Visit)

Odds
2.2544.44%Min
2.4540.89%Mean
2.4640.57%Median
2.5539.22%Max
Consensus probabilities
37.50%2.667Min
41.12%2.432Max
38.49%2.598Mean
38.27%2.613Median
38.25%2.615IQM
38.48%2.599Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.55 under the IQM model: 38.25%

EV -2.47%Edge -0.969%Kelly -1.59%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

BookmakerPhoenix Mercury (Local) ▼Chicago Sky (Visit)MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.62I 61.73% NM 58.88%EV +0.040% E +0.025% K +0.064% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 41.12%EV -11.27% E -4.86% K -8.54% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 01:30
1xBet1.58I 63.29% NM 60.70%EV -2.43% E -1.54% K -4.19% G +0.000%2.44I 40.98% NM 39.30%EV -6.68% E -2.74% K -4.64% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 23:15
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69% NM 61.43%EV -3.05% E -1.94% K -5.35% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.57%EV -4.38% E -1.75% K -2.92% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 23:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -3.05% E -1.94% K -5.35% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -13.94% E -6.20% K -11.16% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-06 01:30
Betway1.56I 64.10% NM 61.58%EV -3.67% E -2.35% K -6.55% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.42%EV -4.38% E -1.75% K -2.92% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 23:45
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52% NM 61.73%EV -4.28% E -2.76% K -7.79% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.27%EV -4.38% E -1.75% K -2.92% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 23:45
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52% NM 61.25%EV -4.28% E -2.76% K -7.79% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.75%EV -6.29% E -2.57% K -4.34% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 23:50
Bet Right1.55I 64.52% NM 61.25%EV -4.28% E -2.76% K -7.79% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.75%EV -6.29% E -2.57% K -4.34% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 23:49
DraftKings1.54I 64.94% NM 62.25%EV -4.90% E -3.18% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.54I 39.37% NM 37.75%EV -2.85% E -1.12% K -1.85% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 00:00
Coolbet1.54I 64.94% NM 61.21%EV -4.90% E -3.18% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.43I 41.15% NM 38.79%EV -7.06% E -2.91% K -4.94% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 00:14
Fanatics1.53I 65.36% NM 62.50%EV -5.52% E -3.61% K -10.41% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.50%EV -2.47% E -0.969% K -1.59% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 00:05
888sport1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -5.52% E -3.61% K -10.41% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -4.38% E -1.75% K -2.92% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 23:45
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -5.52% E -3.61% K -10.41% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -4.38% E -1.75% K -2.92% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 23:45
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -5.52% E -3.61% K -10.41% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -4.38% E -1.75% K -2.92% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 23:45
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -5.52% E -3.61% K -10.41% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -6.29% E -2.57% K -4.34% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 00:00
NordicBet1.52I 65.79% NM 62.00%EV -6.14% E -4.04% K -11.80% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 38.00%EV -5.15% E -2.08% K -3.48% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 23:45
Betsson1.52I 65.79% NM 62.00%EV -6.14% E -4.04% K -11.80% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 38.00%EV -5.15% E -2.08% K -3.48% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 23:45
ReBet1.52I 65.79% NM 61.42%EV -6.14% E -4.04% K -11.80% G +0.000%2.42I 41.32% NM 38.58%EV -7.44% E -3.08% K -5.24% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 23:45
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67% NM 61.04%EV -7.37% E -4.91% K -14.74% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.96%EV -10.12% E -4.31% K -7.50% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 23:45
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57% NM 60.85%EV -8.61% E -5.81% K -17.93% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 39.15%EV -12.03% E -5.23% K -9.26% G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-05 23:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerPhoenix Mercury (Local)Chicago Sky (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%2.50I 40.00%4.9%2026-07-05 23:50