A Escola das Odds

Phoenix Mercury v Chicago Sky

Início: 2026-07-08 02:05 UTC

Final: Phoenix Mercury 66–77 Chicago Sky

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Phoenix Mercury (Local)

Previsão 59.55%1.68odd justa
EV -0.559%
Vantagem -0.335%
Kelly -0.834%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.93%59.60%59.85%61.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.601.611.6766.67%62.43%62.11%59.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Sky (Visitante)

Previsão 40.45%2.47odd justa
EV +1.14%
Vantagem +0.454%
Kelly +0.757%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.57%40.40%40.15%42.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.182.352.352.5045.87%42.54%42.55%40.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.51%E -4.15%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.14%E +0.454%K +0.757%G +0.009%3.7%2026-07-08 02:00
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.32%E -3.35%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.731%E +0.294%K +0.491%G +0.004%3.1%2026-07-08 02:00
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.32%E -3.35%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.731%E +0.294%K +0.491%G +0.004%3.1%2026-07-08 02:00
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -5.32%E -3.35%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV +0.327%E +0.132%K +0.221%G +0.001%3.2%2026-07-08 01:59
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.887%E -0.362%K -0.612%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-08 00:45
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.32%E -3.35%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -0.887%E -0.362%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 00:35
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.51%E -4.15%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.887%E -0.362%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 00:35
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.51%E -4.15%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.887%E -0.362%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 00:39
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.75%E -1.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 01:50
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 00:34
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 01:15
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.32%E -3.35%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 00:34
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.92%E -3.75%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 01:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.92%E -3.75%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 00:40
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.92%E -3.75%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 00:40
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.70%E -4.97%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 01:20
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.70%E -4.97%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 01:59
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.30%E -5.39%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 01:45
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.11%E -4.56%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.72%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 02:00
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.75%E -1.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.93%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 02:00
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.54%E -2.18%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.93%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 01:05
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.11%E -4.56%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.93%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 13:44
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.11%E -4.56%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.93%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 13:45
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.68%E -7.12%K -21.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.93%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-08 02:00
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.34%E -2.28%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 00:44
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.73%E -2.95%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.34%E -2.28%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 00:40
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.559%E -0.335%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.96%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-07 15:45
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.54%E -2.18%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.96%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 01:59
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.96%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.96%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 13:40
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.96%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 13:40
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.96%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 02:00
ReBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 23:40
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 01:55
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 01:55
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 01:55
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 01:55
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 01:55
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 01:55
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 01:55
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.94%E -1.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 01:55
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.94%E -1.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 01:55
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.54%E -2.18%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.98%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 23:39
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.51%E -4.15%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.98%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 02:00
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%EV -7.11%E -4.56%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -11.81%E -5.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-08 01:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-07-08 02:00
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-08 01:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-07-08 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-08 01:50
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-07-08 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-07-08 02:00
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-07-08 02:00
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-07-08 01:50