La escuela de los momiosPhoenix Mercury v Chicago Sky
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Phoenix Mercury (Local)
Predicción 59.55%1.68momio equitativo
EV -0.559%
Ventaja -0.335%
Kelly -0.834%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.93%59.60%59.85%61.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.601.611.6766.67%62.43%62.11%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chicago Sky (Visitante)
Predicción 40.45%2.47momio equitativo
EV +1.14%
Ventaja +0.454%
Kelly +0.757%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.57%40.40%40.15%42.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.182.352.352.5045.87%42.54%42.55%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.51%E -4.15%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.14%E +0.454%K +0.757%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-07-08 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.32%E -3.35%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.731%E +0.294%K +0.491%G +0.004% | 3.1% | 2026-07-08 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.32%E -3.35%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.731%E +0.294%K +0.491%G +0.004% | 3.1% | 2026-07-08 02:00 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -5.32%E -3.35%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV +0.327%E +0.132%K +0.221%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-07-08 01:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.887%E -0.362%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-08 00:45 |
| GTbets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.32%E -3.35%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -0.887%E -0.362%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-08 00:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.51%E -4.15%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.887%E -0.362%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-08 00:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.51%E -4.15%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.887%E -0.362%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-08 00:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.75%E -1.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-08 01:50 |
| Caesars | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-08 00:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-08 01:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.32%E -3.35%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 00:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.92%E -3.75%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 01:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.92%E -3.75%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 00:40 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.92%E -3.75%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 00:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.70%E -4.97%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-08 01:20 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.70%E -4.97%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-08 01:59 |
| Fliff | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.30%E -5.39%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-08 01:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.11%E -4.56%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.72%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-08 02:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.75%E -1.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.93%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-08 02:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.54%E -2.18%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.93%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 01:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.11%E -4.56%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.93%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-07 13:44 |
| Betsson | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.11%E -4.56%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.93%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-07 13:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.68%E -7.12%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.93%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-08 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.34%E -2.28%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 00:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.73%E -2.95%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.34%E -2.28%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 00:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.559%E -0.335%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.96%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-07 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.54%E -2.18%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.96%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 01:59 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.96%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.96%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.96%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 13:40 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.96%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 02:00 |
| ReBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 23:40 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 01:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 01:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 01:55 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 01:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 01:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.94%E -1.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 01:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.94%E -1.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.76%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 01:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.54%E -2.18%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.98%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 23:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.51%E -4.15%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.98%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-08 02:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%EV -7.11%E -4.56%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -11.81%E -5.42%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-08 01:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-07-08 02:00 |
| Novig | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-08 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.1% | 2026-07-08 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-07-08 01:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-07-08 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.9% | 2026-07-08 02:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-07-08 02:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-07-08 01:50 |