Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Liberty v Los Angeles Sparks

Kickoff: 2026-08-14 00:06 UTC

Final: New York Liberty 85–81 Los Angeles Sparks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Liberty (Local)

Prediction 75.11%1.33fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -7.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%75.03%75.20%76.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.271.271.3082.64%78.78%78.74%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Sparks (Visit)

Prediction 24.89%4.02fair odd
EV -0.432%
Edge -0.108%
Kelly -0.144%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.52%24.97%24.80%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.793.854.0030.77%26.37%25.97%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Liberty (Local): 75.11%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visit): 24.89%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.432%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -2.36%E -1.81%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -9.14%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 20:59
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.66%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 00:03
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 22:54
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 22:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 22:54
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -19.10%E -5.88%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-13 23:59
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -2.92%E -0.749%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 20:59
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.17%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.17%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.17%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:54
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 16:24
BetUS🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-13 23:04
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-13 23:04
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 23:59
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 22:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.432%E -0.108%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 00:04
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.432%E -0.108%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-13 23:04
Bet Victor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.432%E -0.108%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-13 23:49
betano_uk🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.432%E -0.108%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-13 23:48
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -1.18%E -0.297%K -0.397%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 22:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 23:59
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 00:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 23:59
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 00:04
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 00:05
Caesars🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 21:37
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 23:49
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 22:54
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 23:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 23:49
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.29%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.71%EV -8.65%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 22:28
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 00:04
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 00:04
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.90%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 22:55
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.90%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 22:54
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.432%E -0.108%K -0.144%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 13:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 00:03
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.66%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 23:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.87%E -5.54%K -28.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.66%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 00:04
Fliff🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.62%E -6.19%K -33.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -0.432%E -0.108%K -0.144%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 23:58
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 00:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -9.12%E -7.54%K -43.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.14%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-08-14 00:05
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-08-13 23:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-08-14 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-08-14 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-08-14 00:05
ProphetX1.28I 78.13%NM 76.85%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.15%1.7%2026-08-13 23:59
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-08-13 20:25
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97%2.2%2026-08-14 00:05