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New York Liberty v Los Angeles Sparks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
New York Liberty (Local)
Predicción 75.11%1.33momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -1.81%
Kelly -7.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.59%75.03%75.20%76.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.211.271.271.3082.64%78.78%78.74%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)
Predicción 24.89%4.02momio equitativo
EV -0.432%
Ventaja -0.108%
Kelly -0.144%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.52%24.97%24.80%28.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.793.854.0030.77%26.37%25.97%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Liberty (Local): 75.11%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante): 24.89%. Para Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.02. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.00, con un valor esperado de -0.432%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -2.36%E -1.81%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -9.14%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 20:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.66%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 00:03 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -19.10%E -5.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -2.92%E -0.749%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 20:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.17%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.17%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.17%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 16:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-13 23:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-13 23:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.432%E -0.108%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 00:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.432%E -0.108%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-13 23:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.432%E -0.108%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-13 23:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.432%E -0.108%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-13 23:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -1.18%E -0.297%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 00:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 00:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 21:37 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 23:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 23:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 23:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.29%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.71%EV -8.65%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 22:28 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 00:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 00:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.90%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.90%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.432%E -0.108%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 13:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 00:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.66%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.87%E -5.54%K -28.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.66%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 00:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.62%E -6.19%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -0.432%E -0.108%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 23:58 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-14 00:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -9.12%E -7.54%K -43.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.14%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 00:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 23.15% | 1.7% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 20:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97% | 2.2% | 2026-08-14 00:05 |