Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Liberty v Los Angeles Sparks

Início: 2026-08-14 00:06 UTC

Final: New York Liberty 85–81 Los Angeles Sparks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Liberty (Local)

Previsão 75.11%1.33odd justa
EV -2.36%
Vantagem -1.81%
Kelly -7.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.59%75.03%75.20%76.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.211.271.271.3082.64%78.78%78.74%76.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)

Previsão 24.89%4.02odd justa
EV -0.432%
Vantagem -0.108%
Kelly -0.144%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.52%24.97%24.80%28.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.793.854.0030.77%26.37%25.97%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Liberty (Local): 75.11%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante): 24.89%. Para Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.02. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.00, com valor esperado de -0.432%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -2.36%E -1.81%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -9.14%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 20:59
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.66%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 00:03
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 22:54
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 22:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 22:54
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -19.10%E -5.88%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-13 23:59
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -2.92%E -0.749%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 20:59
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.17%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.17%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.17%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:54
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 16:24
BetUS🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-13 23:04
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-13 23:04
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 23:59
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 22:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.432%E -0.108%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 00:04
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.432%E -0.108%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-13 23:04
Bet Victor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.432%E -0.108%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-13 23:49
betano_uk🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.432%E -0.108%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-13 23:48
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -1.18%E -0.297%K -0.397%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 22:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 23:59
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 00:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 23:59
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 00:04
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 00:05
Caesars🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 21:37
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 23:49
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 22:54
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 23:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 23:49
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.29%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.71%EV -8.65%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 22:28
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 00:04
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 00:04
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.90%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 22:55
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.90%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 22:54
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.432%E -0.108%K -0.144%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 13:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 00:03
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.66%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 23:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.87%E -5.54%K -28.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.66%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 00:04
Fliff🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.62%E -6.19%K -33.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -0.432%E -0.108%K -0.144%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 23:58
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 00:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -9.12%E -7.54%K -43.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.14%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 00:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-08-14 00:05
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-08-13 23:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-08-14 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-08-14 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-08-14 00:05
ProphetX◎1.28I 78.13%NM 76.85%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.15%1.7%2026-08-13 23:59
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-08-13 20:25
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97%2.2%2026-08-14 00:05