Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Liberty v Dallas Wings

Kickoff: 2026-07-08 00:05 UTC

Final: New York Liberty 77–88 Dallas Wings

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Liberty (Local)

Prediction 62.02%1.61fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.872%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.64%62.17%62.03%65.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.531.531.5969.93%65.56%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dallas Wings (Visit)

Prediction 37.98%2.63fair odd
EV +2.54%
Edge +0.942%
Kelly +1.50%
Growth +0.038%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.78%37.83%37.97%39.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.532.522.7042.55%39.45%39.68%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Liberty (Local): 62.02%; Dallas Wings (Visit): 37.98%. For Dallas Wings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.54%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +2.54%E +0.942%K +1.50%G +0.038%6.5%2026-07-07 22:15
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +2.54%E +0.942%K +1.50%G +0.038%6.5%2026-07-07 22:15
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.49%E -2.91%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-07 23:50
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 22:50
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -2.39%E -0.932%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 23:45
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -2.77%E -1.08%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 23:55
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.87%E -2.49%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.15%E -1.24%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 23:48
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.49%E -2.91%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.15%E -1.24%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 14:54
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.15%E -1.24%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -3.53%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 23:35
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -3.91%E -1.55%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.01%E -1.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -4.29%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.01%E -1.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -4.29%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 00:00
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.29%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 00:00
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -4.67%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 00:00
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.87%E -2.49%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 14:49
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.87%E -2.49%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 14:50
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 23:35
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 19:25
BetAnything🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -2.01%E -1.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV -5.43%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-08 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.49%E -2.91%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -5.43%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 22:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.43%EV -11.31%E -7.91%K -26.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.57%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-07 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.57%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 23:15
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.39%E -0.872%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 00:00
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.39%E -0.872%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 23:58
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.63%E -1.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 16:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.87%E -2.49%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 23:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 00:00
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 23:50
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.75%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-08 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-07-08 00:00
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%0.5%2026-07-07 23:55
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-07-08 00:00
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-08 00:00
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-07 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-07-08 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-07-08 00:00
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%2.5%2026-07-08 00:00

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