La escuela de los momios

New York Liberty v Dallas Wings

Inicio: 2026-07-08 00:05 UTC

Final: New York Liberty 77–88 Dallas Wings

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Liberty (Local)

Predicción 62.02%1.61momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.872%
Kelly -2.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.64%62.17%62.03%65.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.531.531.5969.93%65.56%65.36%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dallas Wings (Visitante)

Predicción 37.98%2.63momio equitativo
EV +2.54%
Ventaja +0.942%
Kelly +1.50%
Crecimiento +0.038%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.78%37.83%37.97%39.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.532.522.7042.55%39.45%39.68%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +2.54%E +0.942%K +1.50%G +0.038%6.5%2026-07-07 22:15
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +2.54%E +0.942%K +1.50%G +0.038%6.5%2026-07-07 22:15
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.49%E -2.91%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-07 23:50
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 22:50
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -2.39%E -0.932%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 23:45
ReBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -2.77%E -1.08%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 23:55
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.87%E -2.49%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.15%E -1.24%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 23:48
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.49%E -2.91%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.15%E -1.24%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 14:54
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.15%E -1.24%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 23:40
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -3.53%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 23:35
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -3.91%E -1.55%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 23:35
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.01%E -1.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -4.29%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 00:00
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.01%E -1.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -4.29%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 00:00
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.29%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 00:00
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -4.67%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 00:00
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.87%E -2.49%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 14:49
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.87%E -2.49%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 14:50
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:30
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:30
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 23:35
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 23:00
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 19:25
BetAnything1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -2.01%E -1.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV -5.43%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-08 00:00
MyBookie.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.49%E -2.91%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -5.43%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 22:54
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.43%EV -11.31%E -7.91%K -26.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.57%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-07 23:00
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.57%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 23:15
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.39%E -0.872%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 00:00
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.39%E -0.872%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 23:58
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.63%E -1.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 16:19
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.87%E -2.49%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 23:59
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 00:00
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 23:50
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.75%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-08 00:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-07-08 00:00
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%0.5%2026-07-07 23:55
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-07-08 00:00
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-08 00:00
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-07 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-07-08 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-07-08 00:00
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%2.5%2026-07-08 00:00