L’École des cotes

New York Liberty v Dallas Wings

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-08 00:05 UTC

Score final : New York Liberty 77–88 Dallas Wings

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Liberty (Local)

Prévision 62.02%1.61cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.872%
Kelly -2.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.64%62.17%62.03%65.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.531.531.5969.93%65.56%65.36%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dallas Wings (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.98%2.63cote équitable
EV +2.54%
Avantage +0.942%
Kelly +1.50%
Croissance +0.038%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.78%37.83%37.97%39.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.532.522.7042.55%39.45%39.68%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +2.54%E +0.942%K +1.50%G +0.038%6.5%2026-07-07 22:15
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +2.54%E +0.942%K +1.50%G +0.038%6.5%2026-07-07 22:15
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.49%E -2.91%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-07 23:50
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 22:50
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.26%E -0.483%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:00
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -2.39%E -0.932%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 23:45
ReBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -2.77%E -1.08%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 23:55
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.87%E -2.49%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.15%E -1.24%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 23:48
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.49%E -2.91%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.15%E -1.24%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 14:54
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.15%E -1.24%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 23:40
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -3.53%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 23:35
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -3.91%E -1.55%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 23:35
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.01%E -1.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -4.29%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 00:00
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.01%E -1.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -4.29%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 00:00
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.29%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 00:00
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -4.67%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 00:00
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.87%E -2.49%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 14:49
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.87%E -2.49%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 14:50
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:30
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:30
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 23:35
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 23:00
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 19:25
BetAnything1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -2.01%E -1.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV -5.43%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-08 00:00
MyBookie.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.49%E -2.91%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -5.43%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 22:54
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.43%EV -11.31%E -7.91%K -26.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.57%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-07 23:00
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.57%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 23:15
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.39%E -0.872%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 00:00
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.39%E -0.872%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 23:58
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.63%E -1.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 16:19
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.87%E -2.49%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 23:59
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 00:00
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 23:50
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.75%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-08 00:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-07-08 00:00
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%0.5%2026-07-07 23:55
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-07-08 00:00
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-08 00:00
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-07 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-07-08 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-07-08 00:00
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%2.5%2026-07-08 00:00