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New York Liberty v Connecticut Sun
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Liberty (Local)
Prediction 82.32%1.21fair odd
EV +0.434%
Edge +0.356%
Kelly +1.97%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.52%82.28%82.34%83.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.161.161.2290.91%86.36%86.21%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Connecticut Sun (Visit)
Prediction 17.68%5.66fair odd
EV +2.17%
Edge +0.376%
Kelly +0.455%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 5.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.47%17.72%17.66%21.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.465.335.405.7822.42%18.77%18.52%17.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Liberty (Local): 82.32%; Connecticut Sun (Visit): 17.68%. For Connecticut Sun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.66. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.53%EV -6.15%E -5.40%K -43.94%G +0.000% | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.47%EV +2.17%E +0.376%K +0.455%G +0.010% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 22:28 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -6.15%E -5.40%K -43.94%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +0.759%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 22:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.01%E -0.180%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.62%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.38%EV -1.72%E -0.309%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-08 23:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 21:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 22:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.15%E -5.40%K -43.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 22:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.15%E -5.40%K -43.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.15%E -5.40%K -43.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.97%E -6.17%K -53.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 22:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.97%E -6.17%K -53.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 22:13 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -3.48%E -0.638%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 20:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -3.48%E -0.638%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 20:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.33%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.67%EV -3.66%E -0.672%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 23:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 23:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 23:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 23:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 23:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 23:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 23:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 23:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 23:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 23:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 23:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 23:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.33%E -4.63%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 23:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.31%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 19:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.31%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 22:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.31%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 21:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.80%E -6.96%K -64.99%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -6.31%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 23:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.33%E -4.63%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 23:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.08%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 23:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.86%E -2.42%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.86%E -2.42%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 22:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.15%E -5.40%K -43.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 22:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.15%E -3.16%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 21:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.03%EV -9.44%E -8.59%K -94.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.97%EV -16.92%E -3.60%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-08 23:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.52%EV +0.434%E +0.356%K +1.97%G +0.009% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.48%EV -21.16%E -4.74%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 22:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.21% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.79% | 1.8% | 2026-05-08 23:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91% | 2.0% | 2026-05-08 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91% | 2.0% | 2026-05-08 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91% | 2.0% | 2026-05-08 23:29 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 2.0% | 2026-05-08 23:30 |