L’École des cotes

New York Liberty v Connecticut Sun

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 23:35 UTC

Score final : New York Liberty 106–75 Connecticut Sun

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Liberty (Local)

Prévision 82.32%1.21cote équitable
EV +0.434%
Avantage +0.356%
Kelly +1.97%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.52%82.28%82.34%83.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.161.161.2290.91%86.36%86.21%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Connecticut Sun (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.68%5.66cote équitable
EV +2.17%
Avantage +0.376%
Kelly +0.455%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 5.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.47%17.72%17.66%21.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.465.335.405.7822.42%18.77%18.52%17.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
MyBookie.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.53%EV -6.15%E -5.40%K -43.94%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.47%EV +2.17%E +0.376%K +0.455%G +0.010%5.0%2026-05-08 22:28
ReBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -6.15%E -5.40%K -43.94%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +0.759%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-08 22:30
Bet Victor1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.01%E -0.180%K -0.219%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 23:29
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 82.62%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.38%EV -1.72%E -0.309%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-08 23:29
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 21:04
BetAnything1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 22:44
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.15%E -5.40%K -43.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 22:04
theScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.15%E -5.40%K -43.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 22:00
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.15%E -5.40%K -43.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 23:29
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.97%E -6.17%K -53.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 22:15
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.97%E -6.17%K -53.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 22:13
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -3.48%E -0.638%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 20:44
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -3.48%E -0.638%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 20:44
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.33%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.67%EV -3.66%E -0.672%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 23:09
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 22:04
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:30
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:14
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:14
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:14
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:14
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:14
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:14
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:14
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:14
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:14
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.33%E -4.63%K -35.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 23:29
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.31%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 19:39
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.31%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 22:04
Bovada1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.31%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 21:09
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.80%E -6.96%K -64.99%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -6.31%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 23:04
BetMGM1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 13:49
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:09
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:09
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.33%E -4.63%K -35.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 23:30
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.08%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 23:14
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.86%E -2.42%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.86%E -2.42%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 13:49
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 22:29
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.15%E -5.40%K -43.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 22:04
TAB1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.15%E -3.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 21:49
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 81.03%EV -9.44%E -8.59%K -94.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.97%EV -16.92%E -3.60%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 23:14
1xBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.52%EV +0.434%E +0.356%K +1.97%G +0.009%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.48%EV -21.16%E -4.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 22:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 83.21%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.79%1.8%2026-05-08 23:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%2.0%2026-05-08 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%2.0%2026-05-08 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%2.0%2026-05-08 23:29
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%2.0%2026-05-08 23:30