A Escola das Odds

New York Liberty v Connecticut Sun

Início: 2026-05-08 23:35 UTC

Final: New York Liberty 106–75 Connecticut Sun

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Liberty (Local)

Previsão 82.32%1.21odd justa
EV +0.434%
Vantagem +0.356%
Kelly +1.97%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.52%82.28%82.34%83.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.101.161.161.2290.91%86.36%86.21%81.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Connecticut Sun (Visitante)

Previsão 17.68%5.66odd justa
EV +2.17%
Vantagem +0.376%
Kelly +0.455%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.47%17.72%17.66%21.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.465.335.405.7822.42%18.77%18.52%17.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
MyBookie.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.53%EV -6.15%E -5.40%K -43.94%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.47%EV +2.17%E +0.376%K +0.455%G +0.010%5.0%2026-05-08 22:28
ReBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -6.15%E -5.40%K -43.94%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +0.759%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-08 22:30
Bet Victor1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.01%E -0.180%K -0.219%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 23:29
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 82.62%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.38%EV -1.72%E -0.309%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-08 23:29
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 21:04
BetAnything1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 22:44
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.15%E -5.40%K -43.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 22:04
theScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.15%E -5.40%K -43.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 22:00
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.15%E -5.40%K -43.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 23:29
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.97%E -6.17%K -53.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 22:15
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.97%E -6.17%K -53.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 22:13
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -3.48%E -0.638%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 20:44
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -3.48%E -0.638%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 20:44
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.33%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.67%EV -3.66%E -0.672%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 23:09
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 22:04
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:30
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:14
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:14
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:14
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:14
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:14
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:14
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:14
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:14
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:14
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.33%E -4.63%K -35.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.54%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 23:29
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.31%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 19:39
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.31%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 22:04
Bovada1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.31%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 21:09
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.80%E -6.96%K -64.99%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -6.31%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 23:04
BetMGM1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 13:49
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:09
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:09
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.33%E -4.63%K -35.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 23:30
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.08%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 23:14
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.86%E -2.42%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.86%E -2.42%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 13:49
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.51%E -3.88%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 22:29
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.15%E -5.40%K -43.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 22:04
TAB1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.15%E -3.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 21:49
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 81.03%EV -9.44%E -8.59%K -94.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.97%EV -16.92%E -3.60%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 23:14
1xBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.52%EV +0.434%E +0.356%K +1.97%G +0.009%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.48%EV -21.16%E -4.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 22:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 83.21%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.79%1.8%2026-05-08 23:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%2.0%2026-05-08 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%2.0%2026-05-08 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%2.0%2026-05-08 23:29
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%2.0%2026-05-08 23:30