Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Liberty v Chicago Sky

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 17:04 UTC

Final: New York Liberty 85–66 Chicago Sky

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Liberty (Local)

Prediction 77.04%1.30fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -4.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.85%77.10%77.03%78.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.231.241.2884.03%81.01%80.65%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Sky (Visit)

Prediction 22.96%4.36fair odd
EV +2.15%
Edge +0.483%
Kelly +0.623%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.24%22.90%22.97%25.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.144.104.4526.67%24.14%24.39%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Liberty (Local): 77.04%; Chicago Sky (Visit): 22.96%. For Chicago Sky (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -7.55%E -6.29%K -37.73%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +2.15%E +0.483%K +0.623%G +0.013%5.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -3.69%E -2.96%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +1.00%E +0.228%K +0.295%G +0.003%2.7%2026-08-29 16:50
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -3.69%E -2.96%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +1.00%E +0.228%K +0.295%G +0.003%2.7%2026-08-29 16:49
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.00%E +0.228%K +0.295%G +0.003%4.7%2026-08-29 16:54
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -0.145%E -0.033%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 12:40
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -7.55%E -6.29%K -37.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -0.145%E -0.033%K -0.043%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -0.604%E -0.139%K -0.181%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 16:50
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.29%E -0.301%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 12:39
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.23%E -4.26%K -22.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -1.29%E -0.301%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 14:09
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.29%E -0.301%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -1.98%E -0.464%K -0.606%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 12:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -1.98%E -0.464%K -0.606%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 12:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.44%E -0.574%K -0.751%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.23%E -4.26%K -22.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -2.44%E -0.574%K -0.751%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.44%E -0.574%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 13:39
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.23%E -4.26%K -22.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 16:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.23%E -4.26%K -22.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 14:14
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.23%E -4.26%K -22.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 14:09
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.69%E -2.96%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 13:15
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.69%E -2.96%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.69%E -2.96%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 04:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:59
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:40
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:40
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:40
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -3.69%E -2.96%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -7.03%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 17:00
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -7.03%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 07:51
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -7.03%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 07:50
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.23%E -4.26%K -22.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -8.18%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.18%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 14:10
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.55%E -6.29%K -37.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.18%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.92%E -2.32%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -10.47%E -2.69%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 04:40
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.92%E -2.32%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -10.47%E -2.69%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 04:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.32%E -6.99%K -43.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -10.47%E -2.69%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 16:40
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.85%EV -1.38%E -1.08%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.15%EV -12.54%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 16:40
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -2.92%E -2.32%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -12.77%E -3.36%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 21:50
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.92%E -3.71%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 79.07%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.93%0.4%2026-08-29 16:45
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 78.68%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.32%0.9%2026-08-29 16:55
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-08-29 14:30
Polymarket1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-08-29 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-08-29 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-08-29 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-08-29 16:50
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-08-29 16:50