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New York Liberty v Chicago Sky
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
New York Liberty (Local)
Predicción 77.04%1.30momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -4.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.85%77.10%77.03%78.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.191.231.241.2884.03%81.01%80.65%78.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Sky (Visitante)
Predicción 22.96%4.36momio equitativo
EV +2.15%
Ventaja +0.483%
Kelly +0.623%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.24%22.90%22.97%25.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.144.104.4526.67%24.14%24.39%22.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Liberty (Local): 77.04%; Chicago Sky (Visitante): 22.96%. Para Chicago Sky (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.36. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.45, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.15%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -7.55%E -6.29%K -37.73%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +2.15%E +0.483%K +0.623%G +0.013% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -3.69%E -2.96%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +1.00%E +0.228%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 2.7% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -3.69%E -2.96%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +1.00%E +0.228%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 2.7% | 2026-08-29 16:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.00%E +0.228%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 16:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -0.145%E -0.033%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 12:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -7.55%E -6.29%K -37.73%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -0.145%E -0.033%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -0.604%E -0.139%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.29%E -0.301%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 12:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.23%E -4.26%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -1.29%E -0.301%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 14:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.29%E -0.301%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -1.98%E -0.464%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 12:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -1.98%E -0.464%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 12:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.44%E -0.574%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.23%E -4.26%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -2.44%E -0.574%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 16:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.44%E -0.574%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 13:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.23%E -4.26%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.23%E -4.26%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 14:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.23%E -4.26%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 14:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.69%E -2.96%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.69%E -2.96%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.69%E -2.96%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 04:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 16:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -3.69%E -2.96%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -7.03%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -7.03%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 07:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -7.03%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 07:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.23%E -4.26%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -8.18%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.18%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.55%E -6.29%K -37.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.18%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.92%E -2.32%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -10.47%E -2.69%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 04:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.92%E -2.32%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -10.47%E -2.69%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 04:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.32%E -6.99%K -43.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -10.47%E -2.69%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.85%EV -1.38%E -1.08%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.15%EV -12.54%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -2.92%E -2.32%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -12.77%E -3.36%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.92%E -3.71%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.07% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.93% | 0.4% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.68% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.32% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 14:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |