默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Liberty v Chicago Sky

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 17:04 UTC

最终结果: New York Liberty 85–66 Chicago Sky

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Liberty (主队)

预测 77.04%1.30公平赔率
EV -1.38%
优势 -1.08%
Kelly -4.94%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.28

博彩公司预测分布
74.85%77.10%77.03%78.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.191.231.241.2884.03%81.01%80.65%78.13%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chicago Sky (客队)

预测 22.96%4.36公平赔率
EV +2.15%
优势 +0.483%
Kelly +0.623%
增长率 +0.013%

假设最高赔率为 4.45

博彩公司预测分布
21.24%22.90%22.97%25.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.144.104.4526.67%24.14%24.39%22.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:New York Liberty (主队):77.04%;Chicago Sky (客队):22.96%。 对于“Chicago Sky (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.36。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.45,对应+2.15%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -7.55%E -6.29%K -37.73%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +2.15%E +0.483%K +0.623%G +0.013%5.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -3.69%E -2.96%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +1.00%E +0.228%K +0.295%G +0.003%2.7%2026-08-29 16:50
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -3.69%E -2.96%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +1.00%E +0.228%K +0.295%G +0.003%2.7%2026-08-29 16:49
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.00%E +0.228%K +0.295%G +0.003%4.7%2026-08-29 16:54
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -0.145%E -0.033%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 12:40
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -7.55%E -6.29%K -37.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -0.145%E -0.033%K -0.043%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -0.604%E -0.139%K -0.181%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 16:50
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.29%E -0.301%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 12:39
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.23%E -4.26%K -22.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -1.29%E -0.301%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 14:09
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.29%E -0.301%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -1.98%E -0.464%K -0.606%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 12:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -1.98%E -0.464%K -0.606%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 12:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.44%E -0.574%K -0.751%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.23%E -4.26%K -22.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -2.44%E -0.574%K -0.751%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.44%E -0.574%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 13:39
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.23%E -4.26%K -22.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 16:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.23%E -4.26%K -22.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 14:14
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.23%E -4.26%K -22.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 14:09
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.59%E -0.854%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.69%E -2.96%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 13:15
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.69%E -2.96%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.69%E -2.96%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 04:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:59
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:40
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:40
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.88%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:40
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -3.69%E -2.96%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -7.03%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 17:00
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -7.03%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 07:51
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -7.03%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 07:50
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.23%E -4.26%K -22.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -8.18%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.18%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 14:10
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.55%E -6.29%K -37.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.18%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.92%E -2.32%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -10.47%E -2.69%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 04:40
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.92%E -2.32%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -10.47%E -2.69%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 04:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.32%E -6.99%K -43.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -10.47%E -2.69%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 16:40
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.85%EV -1.38%E -1.08%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.15%EV -12.54%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 16:40
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -2.92%E -2.32%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -12.77%E -3.36%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 21:50
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.01%E -4.92%K -27.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.92%E -3.71%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 16:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎1.26I 79.37%NM 79.07%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.93%0.4%2026-08-29 16:45
ProphetX◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.68%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.32%0.9%2026-08-29 16:55
Kalshi◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-08-29 14:30
Polymarket◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-08-29 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-08-29 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-08-29 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-08-29 16:50
Matchbook◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-08-29 16:50