The School of Odds

Minnesota Lynx v Portland Fire

2026-07-19 00:00 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Prediction 83.54%1.20fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -13.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.65%83.36%83.69%84.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.111.131.131.1790%88%88%85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Portland Fire (Visit)

Prediction 16.46%6.08fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.206%
Kelly -0.247%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.61%16.64%16.31%19.35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.755.655.756.0021%18%17%17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 82.06%EV -2.26%E -1.93%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.94%EV -11.93%E -2.23%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-17 01:30
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.77%E -4.18%K -34.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.24%E -0.206%K -0.247%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 05:00
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.77%E -4.18%K -34.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.24%E -0.206%K -0.247%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 02:08
GTbets1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.77%E -4.18%K -34.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.24%E -0.206%K -0.247%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 05:00
Unibet (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.77%E -4.18%K -34.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.35%E -0.930%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 01:15
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.77%E -4.18%K -34.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.35%E -0.930%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 01:30
MyBookie.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.77%E -4.18%K -34.04%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -6.17%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 01:18
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.77%E -4.18%K -34.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.47%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 01:10
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.77%E -4.18%K -34.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.47%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 01:10
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.77%E -4.18%K -34.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.47%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 01:10
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -4.77%E -4.18%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -21.81%E -4.59%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 01:15
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.60%E -4.96%K -43.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.24%E -0.206%K -0.247%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 01:30
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.60%E -4.96%K -43.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.24%E -0.206%K -0.247%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 01:30
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.60%E -4.96%K -43.08%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -2.88%E -0.488%K -0.588%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 04:00
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.60%E -4.96%K -43.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.35%E -0.930%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 03:59
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.60%E -4.96%K -43.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.47%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 01:10
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.60%E -4.96%K -43.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.47%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 01:15
ReBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.60%E -4.96%K -43.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -12.76%E -2.41%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 01:10
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.44%E -5.75%K -53.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.24%E -0.206%K -0.247%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 04:25
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.44%E -5.75%K -53.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.47%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 03:59
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.44%E -5.75%K -53.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -17.70%E -3.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 01:14
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.27%E -6.55%K -66.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -1.24%E -0.206%K -0.247%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 01:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.16I 86.21%NM 83.52%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.48%3.2%2026-07-17 07:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 46.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 53.67%84.5%2026-07-17 07:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 46.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 53.67%84.5%2026-07-17 07:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 46.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 53.67%84.5%2026-07-17 07:35