L’École des cotes

Minnesota Lynx v Portland Fire

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-19 00:02 UTC

Score final : Minnesota Lynx 101–93 Portland Fire

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Prévision 85.28%1.17cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -2.44%
Kelly -19.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
84.03%85.60%85.30%89.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.061.111.121.1494.34%89.82%89.29%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Portland Fire (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.72%6.80cote équitable
EV +32.44%
Avantage +3.60%
Kelly +4.06%
Croissance +1.32%

avec la cote maximale 9.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.54%14.40%14.70%15.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.806.536.259.0017.24%15.31%16.00%11.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -9.60%E -9.06%K -159.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +32.44%E +3.60%K +4.06%G +1.32%5.5%2026-07-19 00:00
betano_uk1.10I 90.91%NM 88.54%EV -6.19%E -5.62%K -61.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.46%EV +25.08%E +2.95%K +3.34%G +0.839%2.7%2026-07-18 23:59
Betway1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -9.60%E -9.06%K -159.98%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +25.08%E +2.95%K +3.34%G +0.839%6.1%2026-07-19 00:00
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -6.19%E -5.62%K -61.87%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +14.05%E +1.81%K +2.08%G +0.292%3.8%2026-07-19 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.19%E -5.62%K -61.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.37%E +1.38%K +1.60%G +0.165%4.2%2026-07-19 00:00
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.89%E -7.31%K -98.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +10.37%E +1.38%K +1.60%G +0.165%5.9%2026-07-19 00:00
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 85.89%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.88I 14.53%NM 14.11%EV +1.24%E +0.181%K +0.212%G +0.003%3.0%2026-07-18 23:50
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.33%E -4.81%K -48.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -0.669%E -0.099%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 00:00
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.33%E -4.81%K -48.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -0.669%E -0.099%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 23:59
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.35%E -0.669%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 23:20
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.35%E -0.669%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 21:25
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.35%E -0.669%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 13:10
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.35%E -0.669%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 20:05
BetAnything1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.35%E -0.669%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 21:55
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.35%E -0.669%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 17:05
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.33%E -4.81%K -48.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.35%E -0.669%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 04:00
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.33%E -4.81%K -48.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.35%E -0.669%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 04:00
LowVig.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 85.17%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.83%EV -4.49%E -0.693%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 17:05
BetOnline.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 85.17%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.83%EV -4.49%E -0.693%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 17:05
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.82%E -0.909%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 23:15
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.82%E -0.909%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 18:05
MyBookie.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -7.29%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 23:59
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 14:35
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 14:35
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 19:30
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 14:35
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 14:35
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 14:35
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 14:35
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:29
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 14:35
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.33%E -4.81%K -48.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 13:05
Coolbet1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -7.89%E -7.31%K -98.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 00:00
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.78%E -2.44%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.71%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 12:50
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.71%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 23:59
TAB1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.71%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 23:30
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.71%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.71%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 00:00
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.33%E -4.81%K -48.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.71%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 13:00
BoyleSports1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.33%E -4.81%K -48.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.71%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 11:00
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.33%E -4.81%K -48.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.71%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 00:00
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.33%E -4.81%K -48.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.71%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 23:50
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 84.53%EV -7.89%E -7.31%K -98.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -13.18%E -2.23%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 00:00
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -7.89%E -7.31%K -98.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -14.65%E -2.53%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 14:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-07-19 00:00
Polymarket1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-07-19 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-07-19 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-07-19 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-07-19 00:00
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77%1.7%2026-07-18 23:58
ProphetX1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.55%2.1%2026-07-19 00:00