默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Lynx v Portland Fire

开赛时间: 2026-07-19 00:02 UTC

最终结果: Minnesota Lynx 101–93 Portland Fire

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

45 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Lynx (主队)

预测 85.28%1.17公平赔率
EV -2.78%
优势 -2.44%
Kelly -19.83%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.14

博彩公司预测分布
84.03%85.60%85.30%89.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.061.111.121.1494.34%89.82%89.29%87.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

Portland Fire (客队)

预测 14.72%6.80公平赔率
EV +32.44%
优势 +3.60%
Kelly +4.06%
增长率 +1.32%

假设最高赔率为 9.00

博彩公司预测分布
10.54%14.40%14.70%15.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.806.536.259.0017.24%15.31%16.00%11.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Minnesota Lynx (主队):85.28%;Portland Fire (客队):14.72%。 对于“Portland Fire (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.80。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为9.00,对应+32.44%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -9.60%E -9.06%K -159.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +32.44%E +3.60%K +4.06%G +1.32%5.5%2026-07-19 00:00
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.54%EV -6.19%E -5.62%K -61.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.46%EV +25.08%E +2.95%K +3.34%G +0.839%2.7%2026-07-18 23:59
Betway🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -9.60%E -9.06%K -159.98%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +25.08%E +2.95%K +3.34%G +0.839%6.1%2026-07-19 00:00
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -6.19%E -5.62%K -61.87%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +14.05%E +1.81%K +2.08%G +0.292%3.8%2026-07-19 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.19%E -5.62%K -61.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.37%E +1.38%K +1.60%G +0.165%4.2%2026-07-19 00:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.89%E -7.31%K -98.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +10.37%E +1.38%K +1.60%G +0.165%5.9%2026-07-19 00:00
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.89%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.88I 14.53%NM 14.11%EV +1.24%E +0.181%K +0.212%G +0.003%3.0%2026-07-18 23:50
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.33%E -4.81%K -48.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -0.669%E -0.099%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 00:00
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.33%E -4.81%K -48.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -0.669%E -0.099%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 23:59
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.35%E -0.669%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 23:20
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.35%E -0.669%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 21:25
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.35%E -0.669%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 13:10
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.35%E -0.669%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 20:05
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.35%E -0.669%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 21:55
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.35%E -0.669%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 17:05
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.33%E -4.81%K -48.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.35%E -0.669%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 04:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.33%E -4.81%K -48.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.35%E -0.669%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 04:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.17%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.83%EV -4.49%E -0.693%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.17%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.83%EV -4.49%E -0.693%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 17:05
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.82%E -0.909%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 23:15
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.82%E -0.909%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 18:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -7.29%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 23:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 14:35
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 14:35
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 14:35
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 14:35
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:29
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 14:35
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.33%E -4.81%K -48.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 13:05
Coolbet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -7.89%E -7.31%K -98.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 00:00
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.78%E -2.44%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.71%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.71%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 23:59
TAB🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.71%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 23:30
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.71%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.71%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.33%E -4.81%K -48.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.71%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 13:00
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.33%E -4.81%K -48.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.71%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 11:00
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.33%E -4.81%K -48.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.71%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 00:00
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.33%E -4.81%K -48.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.71%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 23:50
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.53%EV -7.89%E -7.31%K -98.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -13.18%E -2.23%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -7.89%E -7.31%K -98.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -14.65%E -2.53%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 14:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-07-19 00:00
Polymarket1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-07-19 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-07-19 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-07-19 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-07-19 00:00
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77%1.7%2026-07-18 23:58
ProphetX1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.55%2.1%2026-07-19 00:00