语言:简体中文
Minnesota Lynx v Phoenix Mercury
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Minnesota Lynx (主队)
预测 83.57%1.20公平赔率
EV -3.06%
优势 -2.64%
Kelly -19.10%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.16
博彩公司预测分布
81.43%83.54%83.57%84.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.091.141.141.1691.74%87.85%87.72%86.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
Phoenix Mercury (客队)
预测 16.43%6.09公平赔率
EV +2.68%
优势 +0.428%
Kelly +0.510%
增长率 +0.014%
假设最高赔率为 6.25
博彩公司预测分布
15.31%16.46%16.43%18.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.735.806.2520.00%17.46%17.24%16.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Minnesota Lynx (主队)：83.57%；Phoenix Mercury (客队)：16.43%。 对于“Phoenix Mercury (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.09。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.25，对应+2.68%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +2.68%E +0.428%K +0.510%G +0.014% | 4.5% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +2.68%E +0.428%K +0.510%G +0.014% | 4.5% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -0.609%E -0.101%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-14 01:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.98%EV -3.89%E -3.38%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 6.03I 16.58%NM 16.02%EV -0.938%E -0.156%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-14 01:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.89%E -3.38%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.89%E -3.38%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-14 01:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-14 00:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.20%EV -6.40%E -5.71%K -53.33%G +0.000% | 5.97I 16.75%NM 15.80%EV -1.92%E -0.322%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.78%EV -3.89%E -3.38%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 16.22%EV -2.42%E -0.407%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-14 01:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 00:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 00:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -3.89%E -3.38%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -6.36%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.89%E -3.38%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.00%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-14 01:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -3.06%E -2.64%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -8.82%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-14 01:06 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 00:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 00:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 00:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-14 00:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-14 01:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.40%E -5.71%K -53.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-14 00:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.46%EV -8.91%E -8.17%K -98.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.06%E -2.64%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -12.93%E -2.44%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 01:08 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.86%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.40%E -5.71%K -53.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -17.86%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71% | 1.8% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71% | 1.8% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71% | 1.8% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.45% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55% | 2.4% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67% | 3.4% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |