La scuola delle quote

Minnesota Lynx v Phoenix Mercury

Inizio: 2026-07-14 01:11 UTC

Finale: Minnesota Lynx 104–100 Phoenix Mercury

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Minnesota Lynx (Casa)

Previsione 83.57%1.20quota equa
EV -3.06%
Vantaggio -2.64%
Kelly -19.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
81.43%83.54%83.57%84.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.091.141.141.1691.74%87.85%87.72%86.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Phoenix Mercury (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.43%6.09quota equa
EV +2.68%
Vantaggio +0.428%
Kelly +0.510%
Crescita +0.014%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.31%16.46%16.43%18.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.735.806.2520.00%17.46%17.24%16.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +2.68%E +0.428%K +0.510%G +0.014%4.5%2026-07-14 01:10
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +2.68%E +0.428%K +0.510%G +0.014%4.5%2026-07-14 01:09
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -0.609%E -0.101%K -0.121%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-14 01:05
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 83.98%EV -3.89%E -3.38%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.03I 16.58%NM 16.02%EV -0.938%E -0.156%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-14 01:08
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.89%E -3.38%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-14 01:10
betano_uk1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.89%E -3.38%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-14 01:09
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-14 01:10
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-14 01:08
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-14 00:59
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-14 01:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-14 01:10
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 84.20%EV -6.40%E -5.71%K -53.33%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 15.80%EV -1.92%E -0.322%K -0.387%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 01:09
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.78%EV -3.89%E -3.38%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.22%EV -2.42%E -0.407%K -0.489%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-14 01:04
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 01:10
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 01:10
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 01:10
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 01:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 01:09
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 01:09
ReBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 00:59
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 01:09
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 01:10
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 01:09
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 01:10
Unibet (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 01:10
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 00:59
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 01:09
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-14 01:10
BetAnything1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -3.89%E -3.38%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -6.36%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-14 01:10
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.89%E -3.38%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.00%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 01:08
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -3.06%E -2.64%K -19.10%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -8.82%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-14 01:06
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-14 00:59
MyBookie.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-14 01:09
Coolbet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-14 00:58
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-14 01:09
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-14 01:10
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-14 00:59
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-14 00:59
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-14 01:09
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-14 00:59
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-14 01:00
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.40%E -5.71%K -53.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-14 00:59
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.46%EV -8.91%E -8.17%K -98.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-14 01:10
FanDuel1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.06%E -2.64%K -19.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -12.93%E -2.44%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 01:08
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.86%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-14 01:10
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.40%E -5.71%K -53.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -17.86%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-14 01:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-07-14 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-07-14 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-07-14 01:10
Polymarket1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.8%2026-07-14 01:10
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.8%2026-07-14 01:10
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.8%2026-07-14 01:10
ProphetX1.17I 85.47%NM 83.45%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55%2.4%2026-07-14 01:10
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%3.4%2026-07-14 01:10