La escuela de los momiosMinnesota Lynx v Phoenix Mercury
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Minnesota Lynx (Local)
Predicción 83.57%1.20momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -2.64%
Kelly -19.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.43%83.54%83.57%84.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.091.141.141.1691.74%87.85%87.72%86.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)
Predicción 16.43%6.09momio equitativo
EV +2.68%
Ventaja +0.428%
Kelly +0.510%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.31%16.46%16.43%18.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.735.806.2520.00%17.46%17.24%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +2.68%E +0.428%K +0.510%G +0.014% | 4.5% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +2.68%E +0.428%K +0.510%G +0.014% | 4.5% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -0.609%E -0.101%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-14 01:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.98%EV -3.89%E -3.38%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 6.03I 16.58%NM 16.02%EV -0.938%E -0.156%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-14 01:08 |
| Bet Victor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.89%E -3.38%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| betano_uk | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.89%E -3.38%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Caesars | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-14 01:08 |
| BetUS | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-14 00:59 |
| Neds | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| GTbets | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.20%EV -6.40%E -5.71%K -53.33%G +0.000% | 5.97I 16.75%NM 15.80%EV -1.92%E -0.322%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.78%EV -3.89%E -3.38%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 16.22%EV -2.42%E -0.407%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-14 01:04 |
| Unibet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| ReBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 00:59 |
| betPARX | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.72%E -0.813%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 00:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -3.89%E -3.38%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -6.36%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Bovada | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.89%E -3.38%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.00%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-14 01:08 |
| Fliff | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -3.06%E -2.64%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -8.82%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-14 01:06 |
| 888sport | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 00:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 00:58 |
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| Betway | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 00:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 01:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-14 00:59 |
| Betsson | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-14 01:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.40%E -5.71%K -53.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-14 00:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.46%EV -8.91%E -8.17%K -98.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.06%E -2.64%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -12.93%E -2.44%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 01:08 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.86%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.40%E -5.71%K -53.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -17.86%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71% | 1.8% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71% | 1.8% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Novig | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71% | 1.8% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.45% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55% | 2.4% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67% | 3.4% | 2026-07-14 01:10 |