Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Lynx v Los Angeles Sparks

Kickoff: 2026-08-07 01:05 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 82–89 Los Angeles Sparks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Prediction 90.43%1.11fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -3.03%
Kelly -46.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.12%90.40%90.44%91.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.061.061.0799.01%94.73%94.34%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Sparks (Visit)

Prediction 9.57%10.45fair odd
EV +10.09%
Edge +0.877%
Kelly +0.961%
Growth +0.097%

assuming max odds 11.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.44%9.60%9.56%12.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.109.749.9511.5014.08%10.27%10.05%8.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Lynx (Local): 90.43%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visit): 9.57%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.45. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +10.09%E +0.877%K +0.961%G +0.097%3.0%2026-08-07 00:45
betano_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +10.09%E +0.877%K +0.961%G +0.097%3.0%2026-08-07 00:48
Fanatics🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +5.30%E +0.482%K +0.530%G +0.028%3.4%2026-08-06 22:10
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +5.30%E +0.482%K +0.530%G +0.028%4.3%2026-08-07 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.96%E -5.73%K -148.89%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +5.30%E +0.482%K +0.530%G +0.028%5.2%2026-08-06 22:01
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +0.514%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +0.514%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 01:00
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +0.514%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 20:20
BetAnything🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +0.514%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 00:59
Caesars🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +0.514%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 21:38
Pinnacle🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.45%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000%10.14I 9.86%NM 9.55%EV -2.93%E -0.289%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 00:55
BetMGM🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 01:00
Bet Right🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 00:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
TABtouch🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
BetRivers🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
GTbets🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.25%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.75%EV -5.23%E -0.528%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-07 00:59
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV -6.19%E -0.631%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 00:50
Neds🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -6.67%E -0.684%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -6.76%E -0.694%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -6.76%E -0.694%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:00
BetUS🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 01:00
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 00:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 00:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 00:59
ReBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 20:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 19:59
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 90.39%EV -8.67%E -8.58%K -866.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 01:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.85%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 10:15
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.85%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 01:01
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.85%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 01:00
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.85%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 17:00
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.85%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 17:00
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV -14.80%E -1.66%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 00:59
SportsBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -18.63%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 00:15
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.63%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 17:10
TAB🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -23.42%E -2.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 01:00
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -23.42%E -2.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 00:15
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.12%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.88%EV -32.03%E -4.51%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 01:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-08-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-08-07 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-08-07 01:00
Polymarket1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-08-07 01:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-08-07 01:00
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 90.62%10.53I 9.50%NM 9.38%1.2%2026-08-07 00:35
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-08-07 01:00
ProphetX1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%3.5%2026-08-07 01:00