Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Lynx v Los Angeles Sparks

Início: 2026-08-07 01:05 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 82–89 Los Angeles Sparks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Previsão 90.43%1.11odd justa
EV -3.24%
Vantagem -3.03%
Kelly -46.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
87.12%90.40%90.44%91.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.011.061.061.0799.01%94.73%94.34%93.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)

Previsão 9.57%10.45odd justa
EV +10.09%
Vantagem +0.877%
Kelly +0.961%
Crescimento +0.097%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.44%9.60%9.56%12.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.109.749.9511.5014.08%10.27%10.05%8.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Lynx (Local): 90.43%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante): 9.57%. Para Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 10.45. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 11.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +10.09%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Victor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +10.09%E +0.877%K +0.961%G +0.097%3.0%2026-08-07 00:45
betano_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +10.09%E +0.877%K +0.961%G +0.097%3.0%2026-08-07 00:48
Fanatics🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +5.30%E +0.482%K +0.530%G +0.028%3.4%2026-08-06 22:10
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +5.30%E +0.482%K +0.530%G +0.028%4.3%2026-08-07 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.96%E -5.73%K -148.89%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +5.30%E +0.482%K +0.530%G +0.028%5.2%2026-08-06 22:01
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +0.514%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +0.514%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 01:00
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +0.514%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 20:20
BetAnything🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +0.514%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 00:59
Caesars🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +0.514%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 21:38
Pinnacle🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.45%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000%10.14I 9.86%NM 9.55%EV -2.93%E -0.289%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 00:55
BetMGM🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 01:00
Bet Right🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 00:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
TABtouch🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
BetRivers🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
GTbets🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.25%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.75%EV -5.23%E -0.528%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-07 00:59
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV -6.19%E -0.631%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 00:50
Neds🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -6.67%E -0.684%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -6.76%E -0.694%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -6.76%E -0.694%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:00
BetUS🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 01:00
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 00:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 00:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 00:59
ReBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 20:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 19:59
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 90.39%EV -8.67%E -8.58%K -866.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 01:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.85%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 10:15
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.85%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 01:01
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.85%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 01:00
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.85%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 17:00
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.85%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 17:00
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV -14.80%E -1.66%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 00:59
SportsBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -18.63%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 00:15
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.63%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 17:10
TAB🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -23.42%E -2.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 01:00
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -23.42%E -2.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 00:15
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.12%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.88%EV -32.03%E -4.51%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 01:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-08-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-08-07 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-08-07 01:00
Polymarket◎1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-08-07 01:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-08-07 01:00
Novig◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.62%10.53I 9.50%NM 9.38%1.2%2026-08-07 00:35
Matchbook◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-08-07 01:00
ProphetX◎1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%3.5%2026-08-07 01:00