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Minnesota Lynx v Los Angeles Sparks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Minnesota Lynx (Local)
Predicción 90.43%1.11momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -3.03%
Kelly -46.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
87.12%90.40%90.44%91.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.011.061.061.0799.01%94.73%94.34%93.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)
Predicción 9.57%10.45momio equitativo
EV +10.09%
Ventaja +0.877%
Kelly +0.961%
Crecimiento +0.097%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.44%9.60%9.56%12.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.109.749.9511.5014.08%10.27%10.05%8.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Minnesota Lynx (Local): 90.43%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante): 9.57%. Para Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 10.45. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 11.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +10.09%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +10.09%E +0.877%K +0.961%G +0.097% | 3.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +10.09%E +0.877%K +0.961%G +0.097% | 3.0% | 2026-08-07 00:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +5.30%E +0.482%K +0.530%G +0.028% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 22:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +5.30%E +0.482%K +0.530%G +0.028% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.96%E -5.73%K -148.89%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +5.30%E +0.482%K +0.530%G +0.028% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 22:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +0.514%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +0.514%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +0.514%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 20:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +0.514%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 00:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +0.514%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 21:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.45%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000% | 10.14I 9.86%NM 9.55%EV -2.93%E -0.289%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-07 00:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 00:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.27%E -0.427%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.25%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.75%EV -5.23%E -0.528%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-07 00:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV -6.19%E -0.631%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -6.67%E -0.684%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -6.76%E -0.694%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -6.76%E -0.694%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 00:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 00:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 20:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 19:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.39%EV -8.67%E -8.58%K -866.85%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -9.06%E -0.954%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.85%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 10:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.85%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 01:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.85%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.85%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.85%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV -14.80%E -1.66%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 00:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -18.63%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 00:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.63%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -23.42%E -2.93%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -23.42%E -2.93%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 00:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.12%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.03%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.88%EV -32.03%E -4.51%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-08-06 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 01:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.62% | 10.53I 9.50%NM 9.38% | 1.2% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37% | 3.5% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |