Language:English
Minnesota Lynx v Connecticut Sun
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Lynx (Local)
Prediction 85.04%1.18fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -8.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.41%84.99%85.02%85.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.121.121.1692.59%89.21%89.29%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Connecticut Sun (Visit)
Prediction 14.96%6.68fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.426%
Kelly -0.503%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.59%15.01%14.98%17.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.206.216.256.5019.23%16.10%16.00%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Lynx (Local): 85.04%; Connecticut Sun (Visit): 14.96%. For Minnesota Lynx (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.16, with an expected value of -1.35%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.74%EV -1.35%E -1.17%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.26%EV -16.83%E -3.03%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 23:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.94%EV -3.05%E -2.68%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 6.43I 15.55%NM 15.06%EV -3.81%E -0.593%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-06 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -5.16%E -0.814%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-06 23:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -5.16%E -0.814%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-06 23:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -5.76%E -0.914%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-06 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-06 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.25%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 23:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.25%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.25%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 17:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -13.24%E -2.28%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-06 17:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -13.99%E -2.43%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 17:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 19:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.26%E -0.666%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 17:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.26%E -0.666%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 18:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.26%E -0.666%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 17:23 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.26%E -0.666%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 23:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 23:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -7.25%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 23:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.25%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.73%E -3.22%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-06 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 20:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.25%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.25%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -22.21%E -4.27%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-06 19:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -8.16%E -7.55%K -101.95%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -13.24%E -2.28%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-06 22:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-06 23:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-06 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.65% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.35% | 1.0% | 2026-07-06 23:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-07-06 22:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-07-06 18:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-07-06 23:30 |
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