The School of Odds

Minnesota Lynx v Connecticut Sun

2026-07-07 00:00 — WNBA

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (11 in analysis)

Option 1: Minnesota Lynx (Local)

1.0496.15%Min
1.0694.71%Mean
1.0694.34%Median
1.0793.46%Max
87.72%1.140Min
92.15%1.085Max
90.06%1.110Mean
89.96%1.112Median
90.02%1.111IQM
90.10%1.110Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.07 under the IQM model: 90.02%

EV -3.68%Edge -3.44%Kelly -52.53%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Connecticut Sun (Visit)

7.5013.33%Min
9.3910.65%Mean
9.5010.53%Median
12.208.20%Max
7.85%12.731Min
12.28%8.143Max
9.94%10.059Mean
10.04%9.962Median
9.98%10.022IQM
9.90%10.100Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 12.20 under the IQM model: 9.98%

EV +21.74%Edge +1.78%Kelly +1.94%Growth +0.422%

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

BookmakerMinnesota Lynx (Local)Connecticut Sun (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet1.04I 96.15% NM 92.15%EV -6.38% E -6.13% K -159.44% G +0.000%12.20I 8.20% NM 7.85%EV +21.74% E +1.78% K +1.94% G +0.422%4.4%2026-07-04 20:25
theScore Bet1.04I 96.15% NM 91.36%EV -6.38% E -6.13% K -159.44% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.64%EV +9.76% E +0.888% K +0.976% G +0.095%5.2%2026-07-04 20:10
FanDuel1.05I 95.24% NM 90.67%EV -5.48% E -5.22% K -109.55% G +0.000%10.20I 9.80% NM 9.33%EV +1.78% E +0.175% K +0.193% G +0.003%5.0%2026-07-05 05:45
Fanatics1.07I 93.46% NM 90.33%EV -3.68% E -3.44% K -52.53% G +0.000%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.67%EV -0.216% E -0.022% K -0.024% G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-05 05:44
Caesars1.06I 94.34% NM 90.42%EV -4.58% E -4.32% K -76.29% G +0.000%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.58%EV -0.216% E -0.022% K -0.024% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 09:08
GTbets1.07I 93.46% NM 90.11%EV -3.68% E -3.44% K -52.53% G +0.000%9.75I 10.26% NM 9.89%EV -2.71% E -0.278% K -0.310% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 09:10
DraftKings1.07I 93.46% NM 89.88%EV -3.68% E -3.44% K -52.53% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 10.12%EV -5.20% E -0.548% K -0.612% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 22:00
Unibet (UK)1.06I 94.34% NM 89.96%EV -4.58% E -4.32% K -76.29% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 10.04%EV -5.20% E -0.548% K -0.612% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 06:45
Bet Right1.06I 94.34% NM 89.96%EV -4.58% E -4.32% K -76.29% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 10.04%EV -5.20% E -0.548% K -0.612% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:35
Betr (AU)1.06I 94.34% NM 89.96%EV -4.58% E -4.32% K -76.29% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 10.04%EV -5.20% E -0.548% K -0.612% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:35
Hard Rock Bet1.06I 94.34% NM 89.96%EV -4.58% E -4.32% K -76.29% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 10.04%EV -5.20% E -0.548% K -0.612% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 00:05
Betway1.06I 94.34% NM 89.96%EV -4.58% E -4.32% K -76.29% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 10.04%EV -5.20% E -0.548% K -0.612% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 06:45
SportsBet1.05I 95.24% NM 90.05%EV -5.48% E -5.22% K -109.55% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 9.95%EV -5.20% E -0.548% K -0.612% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 05:45
Coolbet1.05I 95.24% NM 90.05%EV -5.48% E -5.22% K -109.55% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 9.95%EV -5.20% E -0.548% K -0.612% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 22:30
MyBookie.ag1.06I 94.34% NM 89.67%EV -4.58% E -4.32% K -76.29% G +0.000%9.20I 10.87% NM 10.33%EV -8.20% E -0.891% K -1.000% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 00:05
888sport1.06I 94.34% NM 89.46%EV -4.58% E -4.32% K -76.29% G +0.000%9.00I 11.11% NM 10.54%EV -10.19% E -1.13% K -1.27% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34% NM 89.46%EV -4.58% E -4.32% K -76.29% G +0.000%9.00I 11.11% NM 10.54%EV -10.19% E -1.13% K -1.27% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 22:00
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34% NM 89.46%EV -4.58% E -4.32% K -76.29% G +0.000%9.00I 11.11% NM 10.54%EV -10.19% E -1.13% K -1.27% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 22:00
Betsson1.05I 95.24% NM 89.55%EV -5.48% E -5.22% K -109.55% G +0.000%9.00I 11.11% NM 10.45%EV -10.19% E -1.13% K -1.27% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 20:09
NordicBet1.05I 95.24% NM 89.55%EV -5.48% E -5.22% K -109.55% G +0.000%9.00I 11.11% NM 10.45%EV -10.19% E -1.13% K -1.27% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 20:09
TAB1.06I 94.34% NM 88.91%EV -4.58% E -4.32% K -76.29% G +0.000%8.50I 11.76% NM 11.09%EV -15.18% E -1.79% K -2.02% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 12:35
Paddy Power1.05I 95.24% NM 89.01%EV -5.48% E -5.22% K -109.55% G +0.000%8.50I 11.76% NM 10.99%EV -15.18% E -1.79% K -2.02% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 05:42
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24% NM 89.01%EV -5.48% E -5.22% K -109.55% G +0.000%8.50I 11.76% NM 10.99%EV -15.18% E -1.79% K -2.02% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 06:45
ReBet1.05I 95.24% NM 88.77%EV -5.48% E -5.22% K -109.55% G +0.000%8.30I 12.05% NM 11.23%EV -17.18% E -2.07% K -2.35% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 06:45
LeoVegas1.05I 95.24% NM 87.72%EV -5.48% E -5.22% K -109.55% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.28%EV -25.16% E -3.35% K -3.87% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 06:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerMinnesota Lynx (Local)Connecticut Sun (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.10I 90.91%9.09I 11.00%1.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Polymarket1.08I 92.59%10.00I 10.00%2.6%2026-07-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%8.20I 12.20%3.9%2026-07-05 14:15
Novig1.02I 98.04%10.00I 10.00%8.0%2026-07-05 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%1.01I 99.01%90.8%2026-07-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%1.01I 99.01%90.8%2026-07-05 12:10